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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
WFRD
Primary Facts
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Name:
-
Sector:
- 84000.00K
Industry:
29.5
CEO:
Total Employees:
Small Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.270737755
-0.738529132
Weatherford International Public Limited Company (XNAS:WFRD) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
WEATHERFORD INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY (XNAS:WFRD)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$55.64
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$186.34
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$29.89
Price Upper limit ($) :
$343.19
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P3
This week:
$25.67
This month :
$20.95
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
70.55M
Market Cap Classification:
2.00B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-46.77%
$12.39
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$39.02
66.17%
$19.98
$47.24
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$34.59
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$11.76
$24.41
$36.34
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Sharpe Ratio:
WFRD, is amongst the top 20% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
1.51%
1.30725832
Sharpe ratio is 130.73% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.23%
Monthly returns:
1.16%
Yearly returns:
55.90%
Comparison of returns:
1.913493546
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 191.35% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
WFRD is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.41
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& ratio is 52.95% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
6.43%
Monthly Volatility:
14.37%
Yearly Volatility:
28.75%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
125.30%
-
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
-
Weekly VaR:
-12.97%
Monthly VaR:
-29.00%
How Much Can the price of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Negligible
Worst case (decline):
$15.16
This translates to price declining to:
-49%
This translates to price declining to:
>85%
Severe Crash Probability
-58.00%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
250.67%
WFRD is a 309.33% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 250.67% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
WFRD is a 309.33% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
158.237
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.224
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
52.956
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--158.24
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are right (positive) skewed; mean returns are greater than median and mode returns
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is 560.49% above industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
18.028
-
Average Industry Beta:
-
5.604912395
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is 436.25% above industry mean WACC
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
74.891
5.964
-656.399
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is -65640% below the market average
5.499
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is 549.94% above industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
123.85%
After-tax cost of debt:
9.10%
Overall debt rating:
7.19%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
9.10%
436.25%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
-
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -63.56% below the industry mean
661.05%
EPS:
-
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
Price to free cash flow ratio is -64.78% lower than the industry
-
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is 88.60% above the industry mean
Growth rate in R&D investment/expenditure is -79.74% lower than the industry
-
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.16%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -44% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
P/E Ratio:
-
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
0.42
-0.983327192
-150.188675
-1.196419603
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$53.17
-0.635551615
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -63.56% below the industry mean
-
-0.647810406
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is 661.05% above the industry average
53.06%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is 53.06% higher than the average industry net income growth rate
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
-
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
416.43%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 5.0 years
Debt to assets ratio:
37.87%
Net debt to assets ratio:
597.65%
-1.74%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -1.74% below industry average
-0.54
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
2.2x
-103.28%
0.16%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
2.884835338
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.86%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.11
-73.55%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.11
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.012
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.068
Kurtosis
0.254
21.187
Skewness of returns:
Returns have severe fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are considerably more likely, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
1.016
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
989.00M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is 345.78% higher than the industry
-258.29%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
989.00M
Effective Tax Rate:
-1.69%
-1.643312616
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is 92.14% higher than the industry
171.61%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -258.29% lower than the industry
92.14%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -53.87% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is 171.61% higher than the industry
-0.040142232
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$36.09
-0.163332859
Current ratio is -4.01% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -16.33% below industry average
-0.16804911
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -17% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.435746063
Profit generated per employee:
$4.69
-572%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -572% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
0.123989628
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates 12% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
0.123989628
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-12.37%
-0.797351051
Competitors/Peer firms of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
$5,881,728.96
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Current Analyst Ratings
-$5.91
Strong buy�0%
Buy�0%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
3.75B
2.76B
105%
85.00M
- 20000.00K
728.00M
-
-
3.61B
-
238.00M
416.00M
36%
91.00M
- 449000.00K
-32%
91.00M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
- 80000.00K
Differed Income Tax :
87.00M
Stock Based Compensation :
3.00M
Change in Working Capital :
7.00M
Accounts Receivables:
- 75000.00K
Other Working Capital:
7.00M
Other Non-Cash Items:
1.59B
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
- 6000.00K
Investments in PP&E:
- 64000.00K
Net Acquisitions:
- 20000.00K
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
841.00M
-
841.00M
868.00M
684.00M
496.00M
2.89B
1.08B
-
619.00M
-
-
93.00M
1.80B
-
4.68B
385.00M
69.00M
140.00M
-
846.00M
1.30B
2.55B
412.00M
2.96B
-
4.26B
-
- 2477000.00K
- 35000.0K
Value
813.00M
2.94B
426.00M
4.68B
-
2.62B
-
-
29.00M
9.00M
- 4000.00K
-
-
-
- 1000.00K
- 5000.00K
3.00M
- 57000.00K
1.06B
1.11B
- 64000.00K
- 20000.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-204.8015164
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
321.1141834
$321.11
$3,735.69
$43,459.25
$505,584.36