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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
UEIC
Primary Facts
Consumer Electronics
Name:
-
Sector:
- 21164.00K
Industry:
21.21
CEO:
Mr. Paul Arling
Total Employees:
Micro Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.96422568
0.205968944
Universal Electronics Inc. (XNAS:UEIC) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
UNIVERSAL ELECTRONICS INC. (XNAS:UEIC)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$21.34
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$21.99
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$21.29
Price Upper limit ($) :
$22.78
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P338
This week:
$19.92
This month :
$18.33
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
12.65M
Market Cap Classification:
255.10M
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
B
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-17.2%
$15.44
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$24.53
15.16%
$17.89
$27.21
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$23.08
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$15.21
$19.34
$23.66
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Consumer Electronics
Sharpe Ratio:
UEIC, is amongst the top 40% lowest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
1.87%
-2.969714077
Sharpe ratio is -296.97% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Consumer Electronics
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
-0.10%
Monthly returns:
-0.49%
Yearly returns:
-23.63%
Comparison of returns:
-2.419666782
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -241.97% below industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
UEIC is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.06
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -261.62% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.91%
Monthly Volatility:
6.51%
Yearly Volatility:
13.03%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
56.79%
-75.97%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -75.97% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-6.08%
Monthly VaR:
-13.60%
How Much Can the price of
Consumer Electronics
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Low (<25%)
Worst case (decline):
$15.87
This translates to price declining to:
-25%
This translates to price declining to:
-94.21%
Severe Crash Probability
-27.20%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
64.44%
UEIC is a 91.95% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 64.44% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
UEIC is a 91.95% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Consumer Electronics
1.100
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.684
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.677
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--1.10
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -19.82% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
1.14
-0.219
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -21.91% lower than peers
-0.198206409
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -0.05% below industry mean WACC
-87.71%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.957
-9.368
-21.843
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Consumer Electronics
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is -2184% below the market average
-0.148
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -14.84% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
11.08%
After-tax cost of debt:
-0.28%
Overall debt rating:
-0.22%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
-0.28%
-0.05%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
-
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -83.07% below the industry mean
-284.10%
EPS:
-
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
FALSE
-28.90%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -91.32% below the industry mean
Growth rate in R&D investment/expenditure is -126.88% lower than the industry
-
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 46.78%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -97% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Consumer Electronics
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is -87.71% below industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
82.88
4.082186256
-6.197130214
-4.422551934
$1.04
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$46.11
-0.830729162
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -83.07% below the industry mean
-
0
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -284.10% below industry average
-78.27%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -78.27% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
-
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
19.17%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 7.8 years
Debt to assets ratio:
9.87%
Net debt to assets ratio:
5.47%
-95.00%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -95.00% below industry average
-5.22
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.0x
246.19%
46.78%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
9.918076865
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.59%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.355
-33.39%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.355
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.126
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.034
Kurtosis
-0.058
6.184
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.348
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Consumer Electronics
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
162.89M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -104.44% lower than the industry
-86.41%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
162.89M
Effective Tax Rate:
-54.30%
7.285889349
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -104.91% lower than the industry
-102.48%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -86.41% lower than the industry
-104.91%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -521.75% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -102.48% lower than the industry
-0.052356358
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$1.17
-0.714681021
Current ratio is -5.24% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -71.47% below industry average
-0.889815847
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -89% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.970678758
Profit generated per employee:
$2.63
-100%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -100% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-1.071836755
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -107% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-1.071836755
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-1.69%
-1.268822464
Competitors/Peer firms of
Consumer Electronics
$30.39
KOPIN CORPORATION (XNAS:KOPN)
ABSOLUTE SOFTWARE CORPORATION (XNAS:ABST)
MITEK SYSTEMS, INC. (XNAS:MITK)
MAXEON SOLAR TECHNOLOGIES, LTD. (XNAS:MAXN)
CASA SYSTEMS, INC. (XNAS:CASA)
RIMINI STREET, INC. (XNAS:RMNI)
AMERICAN SOFTWARE, INC. (XNAS:AMSWA)
HARMONIC INC. (XNAS:HLIT)
Current Analyst Ratings
-$0.38
Strong buy�8%
Buy�8%
Hold�4%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
583.47M
420.59M
111%
30.78M
-
118.02M
-
-
569.39M
-
- 296.00K
26.47M
22%
11.66M
- 7024.00K
4%
11.66M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
- 2910.00K
Differed Income Tax :
6.05M
Stock Based Compensation :
269.00K
Change in Working Capital :
2.50M
Accounts Receivables:
- 23992.00K
Other Working Capital:
- 13174.00K
Other Non-Cash Items:
-
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
120.00K
Investments in PP&E:
- 17969.00K
Net Acquisitions:
- 1785.00K
Purchases of Investments:
- 939.00K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
53.63M
8.59M
62.22M
141.50M
139.40M
7.74M
350.85M
92.68M
49.15M
22.48M
-
7.71M
2.25M
174.27M
-
525.12M
82.55M
90.66M
9.84M
-
62.40M
235.61M
14.79M
1.83M
19.16M
-
254.77M
248.00K
327.38M
- 11675.0K
Value
148.80M
- 45597.00K
270.36M
525.12M
-
105.45M
-
-
- 8897.00K
- 11621.00K
- 13000.00K
-
- 7354.00K
-
42.00M
21.65M
759.00K
- 7185.00K
53.63M
60.81M
- 17969.00K
- 3195.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-1.002863427
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Consumer Electronics
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
22.8515292
$22.85
$24.54
$26.35
$28.30