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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
TTC
Primary Facts
Tools & Accessories
Name:
-
Sector:
- 101946.00K
Industry:
82.67
CEO:
Mr. Richard Olson
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
50.90679092
4.116624805
The Toro Company (XNYS:TTC) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
THE TORO COMPANY (XNYS:TTC)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$83.03
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$84.81
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$82.96
Price Upper limit ($) :
$86.94
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P339
This week:
$79.46
This month :
$75.49
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
104.20M
Market Cap Classification:
8.61B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
A+
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-14.18%
$68.32
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$90.75
8.94%
$74.59
$97.57
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$87.08
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$67.77
$78.26
$88.54
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Tools & Accessories
Sharpe Ratio:
TTC, is amongst the top 60% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
1.34%
-0.455828862
Sharpe ratio is -45.58% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Tools & Accessories
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.02%
Monthly returns:
0.11%
Yearly returns:
5.45%
Comparison of returns:
-0.484815667
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -48.48% below industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
TTC is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.78
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -68.04% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
1.90%
Monthly Volatility:
4.25%
Yearly Volatility:
8.50%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
37.07%
-51.42%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -51.42% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-3.88%
Monthly VaR:
-8.68%
How Much Can the price of
Tools & Accessories
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Medium (<50%)
Worst case (decline):
$70.19
This translates to price declining to:
-15%
This translates to price declining to:
-60.15%
Severe Crash Probability
-17.36%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
4.98%
TTC is a 22.54% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 4.98% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
TTC is a 22.54% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Tools & Accessories
0.769
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.602
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.597
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.77
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are left (negative) skewed; mean returns are lower than median and mode returns
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -37.27% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.435
-0.381
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -38.12% lower than peers
-0.372675367
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -34.76% below industry mean WACC
98.99%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.844
2.049
-1.891
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Tools & Accessories
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is -189% below the market average
-0.271
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -27.10% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
4.76%
After-tax cost of debt:
2.48%
Overall debt rating:
1.96%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
2.48%
-34.76%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $18.25
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -28.07% below the industry mean
316.85%
EPS:
Three Hundred Forty-Nine Million Two Hundred Sixty-Seven Thousand One Hundred Forty Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
-538.80%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is 84.94% above the industry mean
-
1.594951658
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.00%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates 28% more EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Tools & Accessories
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is 98.99% above industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
22.7
-0.344203633
115.6146539
-0.284952234
$0.60
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $35.20
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$39.53
-0.280720631
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -28.07% below the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is 316.85% above the industry average
276.80%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is 276.80% higher than the average industry net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: 8.81%
$0.30
Previous Dividend: $0.30
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.30
Previous Dividend: $1.16
Expected next dividend best case: $0.32
Expected next dividend worst case: $0.28
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.27
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 1.93%
Expected next dividend payment date: 10/11/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 20/09/2022
-
Previous dividend payment date: 13/07/2022
Previous dividend record date: 22/06/2022
Dividend History:
-
2022-04-05--$0.30
2021-10-05--$0.26
2022-06-21--$0.30
2021-12-27--$0.30
2021-06-21--$0.26
-0.196522064
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
87.53%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 2.6 years
Debt to assets ratio:
30.13%
Net debt to assets ratio:
94.42%
-43.57%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -43.57% below industry average
0.56
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.5x
-103.36%
0.00%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
24.81055579
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.30%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.688
1.41%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.688
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.473
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.011
Kurtosis
0.012
6.544
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.815
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Tools & Accessories
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
1.33B
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is 27.91% higher than the industry
64.18%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
1.33B
Effective Tax Rate:
1.46%
0.080506628
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is 95.24% higher than the industry
122.72%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 64.18% higher than the industry
95.24%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is 55.86% more than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is 122.72% higher than the industry
-0.307193272
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$10.14
-1.028215403
Current ratio is -30.72% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is 159.50% higher than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -102.82% below industry average
0.476860009
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates 48% more revenue than industry average revenue per employee
0.284418169
Profit generated per employee:
$5.21
53%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates 53% more net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-33.46903329
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -3347% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-33.46903329
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Tools & Accessories
$113.45
AQUA AMERICA UNT (XNYS:WTRU)
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. (XNYS:AFGE)
AECOM (XNYS:ACM)
DTE ENERGY UNT (XNYS:DTP)
GXO LOGISTICS, INC. (XNYS:GXO)
TFI International Inc. (XNYS:TFII)
HUBBELL INCORPORATED (XNYS:HUBB)
SITEONE LANDSCAPE SUPPLY, INC. (XNYS:SITE)
Current Analyst Ratings
$3.34
Strong buy�4%
Buy�0%
Hold�25%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
4/29/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
4.12B
2.79B
129%
-
-
868.05M
-
-
3.66B
-
29.05M
75.13M
52%
81.89M
- 19350.00K
42%
81.89M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
69.51M
Differed Income Tax :
24.94M
Stock Based Compensation :
-
Change in Working Capital :
5.23M
Accounts Receivables:
- 186419.00K
Other Working Capital:
- 72462.00K
Other Non-Cash Items:
-
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
- 3302.00K
Investments in PP&E:
- 90043.00K
Net Acquisitions:
- 11903.00K
Purchases of Investments:
- 401494.00K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
1/28/2022
2022
Q1
192.96M
-
192.96M
366.27M
832.07M
45.96M
1.44B
585.86M
576.94M
600.80M
24.12M
3.94M
24.13M
1.82B
-
3.25B
474.48M
115.84M
-
-
395.74M
986.06M
1.06B
39.94M
1.15B
-
2.13B
104.53M
1.04B
- 25614.0K
Value
868.05M
-
1.12B
3.25B
-
1.17B
-
-
26.00K
- 413371.00K
-
-
- 75000.00K
- 31469.00K
399.77M
293.30M
- 2539.00K
- 212653.00K
192.96M
405.61M
- 90043.00K
- 11903.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
625.3369634
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Tools & Accessories
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
92.74283101
$92.74
$97.54
$102.58
$107.88