_edited.png)
RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
TMX
Primary Facts
Personal Services
Name:
-
Sector:
71.00M
Industry:
42.25
CEO:
Mr. Anthony D. DiLucente CPA
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
10.93254299
1.192875023
Terminix Global Holdings, Inc. (XNYS:TMX) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
TERMINIX GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC. (XNYS:TMX)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$42.43
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$43.32
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$42.47
Price Upper limit ($) :
$44.39
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P106
This week:
$39.93
This month :
$37.07
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
121.54M
Market Cap Classification:
5.21B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
B
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-23.57%
$31.89
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$48.06
19.27%
$36.44
$52.99
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$45.40
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$31.51
$39.10
$46.45
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Personal Services
Sharpe Ratio:
TMX, is amongst the top 60% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
0.28%
4.846378604
Sharpe ratio is 484.64% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Personal Services
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.05%
Monthly returns:
0.27%
Yearly returns:
12.88%
Comparison of returns:
74.1487304
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 7414.87% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
TMX is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.46
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -27.03% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.69%
Monthly Volatility:
6.03%
Yearly Volatility:
12.05%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
52.53%
-75.14%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -75.14% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-5.48%
Monthly VaR:
-12.25%
How Much Can the price of
Personal Services
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: High (50-70%)
Worst case (decline):
$33.35
This translates to price declining to:
-21%
This translates to price declining to:
-84.90%
Severe Crash Probability
-24.51%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
48.20%
TMX is a 72.99% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 48.20% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
TMX is a 72.99% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Personal Services
0.755
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.443
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.743
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.75
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -12.40% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.593
-0.474
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -47.35% lower than peers
-0.123955155
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is 25.84% above industry mean WACC
18.97%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
1.051
-1.514
2.903
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Personal Services
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 290% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.081
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -8.08% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
6.54%
After-tax cost of debt:
4.35%
Overall debt rating:
3.43%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
4.35%
25.84%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
-
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -29.34% below the industry mean
-
EPS:
One Hundred Twelve Million Nine Hundred Ninety-Seven Thousand Seven Hundred Ninety Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
921.88%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -75.51% below the industry mean
-
-
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 6.47%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -73% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Personal Services
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is 18.97% above industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
78.95
0.908887103
38.46612976
0.098368884
$1.93
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$17.02
-0.293384283
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -29.34% below the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
-
-
Dividend Analysis
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
-
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
35.63%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 2.2 years
Debt to assets ratio:
19.24%
Net debt to assets ratio:
38.71%
-74.58%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -74.58% below industry average
-0.89
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.3x
-
6.47%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
10.54420706
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.40%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.374
-22.44%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.374
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.14
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.006
Kurtosis
-0.009
25.046
Skewness of returns:
Returns have severe fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are considerably more likely, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.400
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Personal Services
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
850.00M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -50.20% lower than the industry
5.13%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
850.00M
Effective Tax Rate:
5.13%
0.252465909
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -66.52% lower than the industry
-102.90%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 5.13% higher than the industry
-66.52%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -89.43% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -102.90% lower than the industry
0.028512925
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$7.73
-0.518963282
Current ratio is 2.85% above industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -51.90% below industry average
-0.561829342
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -56% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.726519487
Profit generated per employee:
$2.76
-86%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -86% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-0.782634024
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -78% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-0.782634024
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Personal Services
$60.29
FOOT LOCKER, INC. (XNYS:FL)
ARAD LTD. (XTAE:ARD)
CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL, INC. (XNYS:CHH)
NORDSTROM, INC. (XNYS:JWN)
AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS, INC. (XNYS:AEO)
SONOCO PRODUCTS COMPANY (XNYS:SON)
WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC. (XNYS:WH)
YATSEN HOLDING LIMITED (XNYS:YSG)
Current Analyst Ratings
$0.93
Strong buy�0%
Buy�0%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
2.07B
1.22B
164%
-
80.00M
562.00M
201.00M
41.00M
1.82B
2.00M
45.00M
125.00M
64%
49.00M
- 83000.00K
31%
49.00M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
19.00M
Differed Income Tax :
31.00M
Stock Based Compensation :
2.00M
Change in Working Capital :
6.00M
Accounts Receivables:
7.00M
Other Working Capital:
20.00M
Other Non-Cash Items:
5.00M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
13.00M
Investments in PP&E:
78.00M
Net Acquisitions:
- 7000.00K
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
170.00M
-
170.00M
195.00M
44.00M
164.00M
573.00M
266.00M
2.21B
1.08B
14.00M
-
347.00M
3.92B
7.84B
4.50B
105.00M
95.00M
-
108.00M
239.00M
547.00M
940.00M
182.00M
1.52B
-
2.07B
2.00M
986.00M
6.0M
Value
603.00M
-
2.43B
4.50B
-
1.04B
-
-
- 33000.00K
- 40000.00K
- 65000.00K
1.00M
-
-
80.00M
16.00M
-
53.00M
258.00M
205.00M
78.00M
- 7000.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
50.19826981
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Personal Services
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
49.46314025
$49.46
$51.97
$54.61
$57.38