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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
T
Primary Facts
Telecom Services
Name:
-
Sector:
984.00M
Industry:
17.19
CEO:
Mr. Randall Stephenson
Total Employees:
Large Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
2.764961598
1.23267272
At&T Inc. (XNYS:T) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
AT&T INC. (XNYS:T)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$17.23
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$17.45
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$17.23
Price Upper limit ($) :
$17.7
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P222
This week:
$16.55
This month :
$15.76
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
7.13B
Market Cap Classification:
119.65B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-9.24%
$14.33
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$18.83
10.02%
$15.55
$20.16
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$18.12
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$14.22
$16.26
$18.40
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Telecom Services
Sharpe Ratio:
T, is amongst the top 40% lowest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
0.97%
-4.935543644
Sharpe ratio is -493.55% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Telecom Services
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
-0.06%
Monthly returns:
-0.30%
Yearly returns:
-14.24%
Comparison of returns:
-1.801046838
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -180.10% below industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
T is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.13
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -267.88% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
1.78%
Monthly Volatility:
3.98%
Yearly Volatility:
7.97%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
34.73%
-44.71%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -44.71% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-3.72%
Monthly VaR:
-8.31%
How Much Can the price of
Telecom Services
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Low (<25%)
Worst case (decline):
$14.54
This translates to price declining to:
-15%
This translates to price declining to:
-57.60%
Severe Crash Probability
-16.63%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
0.54%
T is a 17.36% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 0.54% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
T is a 17.36% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Telecom Services
0.442
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.59
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.479
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.44
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -46.01% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.238
-0.631
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -63.12% lower than peers
-0.460067636
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -16.92% below industry mean WACC
-69.12%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.677
-3.264
-12.995
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Telecom Services
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is -1300% below the market average
-0.295
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -29.46% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
3.32%
After-tax cost of debt:
2.95%
Overall debt rating:
2.33%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
2.95%
-16.92%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $16.51
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -87.99% below the industry mean
-101.62%
EPS:
Sixteen Billion Nine Hundred Sixty-Six Million Eight Hundred Thirty Thousand Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
Price to free cash flow ratio is -73.71% lower than the industry
-46.49%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -50.85% below the industry mean
-
-1.403183313
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 2.05%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -27% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Telecom Services
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is -69.12% below industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
6.28
-0.787346871
69.93431085
-0.754197907
$2.81
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $39.34
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$22.88
-0.879876965
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -87.99% below the industry mean
-
-0.737120161
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -101.62% below industry average
-100.45%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -100.45% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: 21.62%
$0.28
Previous Dividend: $0.28
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.28
Previous Dividend: $1.84
Expected next dividend best case: $0.34
Expected next dividend worst case: $0.22
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.50
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: -4.46%
Expected next dividend payment date: 08/01/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 13/07/2022
Expected next dividend declaration date: 23/06/2022
Previous dividend payment date: 05/02/2022
Previous dividend record date: 14/04/2022
Dividend History:
Previous dividend declaration date: 25/03/2022
2022-01-07--$0.39
2021-07-08--$0.39
2022-04-13--$0.28
2021-10-08--$0.52
2021-04-08--$0.39
0.337786949
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
101.80%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 9.9 years
Debt to assets ratio:
32.90%
Net debt to assets ratio:
107.82%
-54.42%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -54.42% below industry average
3.87
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.5x
-99.67%
2.05%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
20.28235982
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.36%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.613
32.79%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.613
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.375
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.056
Kurtosis
0.057
6.725
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.085
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Telecom Services
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
86.75B
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is 239.85% higher than the industry
317.97%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
86.75B
Effective Tax Rate:
-
-0.368350567
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -1748.50% lower than the industry
-342.07%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 317.97% higher than the industry
-1748.50%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is 386.61% more than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -342.07% lower than the industry
-0.423015757
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$28.23
-3.681529349
Current ratio is -42.30% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is -140.32% lower than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -368.15% below industry average
-0.201839084
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -20% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.265178206
Profit generated per employee:
$7.22
-18%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -18% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-0.915892205
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -92% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-0.915892205
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Telecom Services
$45.35
VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC. (XNYS:VZ)
SEA LIMITED (XNYS:SE)
SNAP INC. (XNYS:SNAP)
America Mobile (XNYS:AMOV)
RELX PLC (XNYS:RELX)
ROBLOX CORPORATION (XNYS:RBLX)
BCE Inc (XNYS:BCE)
DOORDASH, INC. (XNYS:DASH)
Current Analyst Ratings
$2.37
Strong buy�25%
Buy�13%
Hold�83%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�4%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
163.03B
76.28B
213%
-
-
37.93B
-
32.94B
136.80B
-
6.74B
22.59B
127%
4.79B
2.16B
59%
4.79B
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
4.81B
Differed Income Tax :
5.54B
Stock Based Compensation :
932.00M
Change in Working Capital :
-
Accounts Receivables:
- 7238000.00K
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
- 259000.00K
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
1.69B
Investments in PP&E:
5.73B
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
- 9244000.00K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
38.57B
-
38.57B
17.22B
3.15B
17.92B
76.86B
151.10B
133.25B
158.83B
5.94B
-
198.60B
500.34B
-
577.20B
-
27.33B
-
5.18B
49.98B
82.49B
201.14B
-
267.11B
575.25B
390.64B
7.62B
45.04B
3.3B
Value
70.87B
130.60B
186.56B
577.20B
-
228.48B
-
-
- 3407000.00K
- 12651000.00K
- 4209000.00K
26.00M
- 197000.00K
- 3749000.00K
32.38B
24.25B
-
17.33B
38.65B
21.32B
5.73B
- 4748000.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-6.553186482
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Telecom Services
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
40.34035104
$17.79
$41.54
$42.77
$44.04