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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
SLGN
Primary Facts
Packaging & Containers
Name:
-
Sector:
- 335892.00K
Industry:
45.06
CEO:
Mr. Anthony Allott
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
1.032898179
0.001329526
Silgan Holdings Inc. (XNYS:SLGN) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
SILGAN HOLDINGS INC. (XNYS:SLGN)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$45.25
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$46.2
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$45.21
Price Upper limit ($) :
$47.33
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P72
This week:
$43.62
This month :
$41.83
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
110.22M
Market Cap Classification:
4.97B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
B
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-6.26%
$38.6
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$48.64
7.79%
$41.48
$51.76
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$46.96
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$38.36
$43.16
$47.63
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Packaging & Containers
Sharpe Ratio:
SLGN, is amongst the top 40% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
1.57%
1.432957287
Sharpe ratio is 143.30% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Packaging & Containers
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.07%
Monthly returns:
0.35%
Yearly returns:
16.70%
Comparison of returns:
0.45789793
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 45.79% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
SLGN is a comparatively less risky than Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.59
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& ratio is 67.07% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
1.60%
Monthly Volatility:
3.57%
Yearly Volatility:
7.13%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
31.09%
-70.94%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -70.94% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-3.21%
Monthly VaR:
-7.17%
How Much Can the price of
Packaging & Containers
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: High (50-70%)
Worst case (decline):
$39.71
This translates to price declining to:
-12%
This translates to price declining to:
-49.67%
Severe Crash Probability
-14.34%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
-13.30%
SLGN is a 1.20% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is -13.30% less risky than Nasdaq(IXIC)
SLGN is a 1.20% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Packaging & Containers
0.751
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.378
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.576
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.75
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -25.17% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.286
-0.390
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -38.95% lower than peers
-0.251693902
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -22.59% below industry mean WACC
-23.24%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.815
4.875
5.351
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Packaging & Containers
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 535% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.173
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -17.26% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
3.16%
After-tax cost of debt:
2.79%
Overall debt rating:
2.21%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
2.79%
-22.59%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $14.53
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -32.23% below the industry mean
-
EPS:
Three Hundred Sixty-Eight Million Nine Hundred Sixty-Four Thousand Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
Price to free cash flow ratio is -87.31% lower than the industry
146.19%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -53.48% below the industry mean
-
2.410778574
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 8.60%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -91% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Packaging & Containers
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is -23.24% below industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
13.59
-0.308711665
65.48114981
-0.31186303
$2.04
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $38.55
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$53.36
-0.322302895
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -32.23% below the industry mean
-
-0.873079603
Net income growth rate (3Y):
-
-
Dividend Analysis
Dividend payout rate: 5.05%
$0.16
Previous Dividend: $0.16
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.16
Previous Dividend: $0.60
Expected next dividend best case: $0.17
Expected next dividend worst case: $0.15
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.13
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 4.00%
Expected next dividend payment date: 13/09/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 30/08/2022
-
Previous dividend payment date: 15/06/2022
Previous dividend record date: 06/01/2022
Dividend History:
-
2022-03-16--$0.16
2021-08-31--$0.14
2022-05-31--$0.16
2021-11-30--$0.14
2021-05-28--$0.14
-0.482094158
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
227.39%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 17.4 years
Debt to assets ratio:
48.31%
Net debt to assets ratio:
210.33%
-33.17%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -33.17% below industry average
0.36
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.8x
-300.08%
8.60%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
13.0002321
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.20%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.445
-19.97%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.445
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.198
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.009
Kurtosis
-0.009
3.337
Skewness of returns:
Returns are, approximately, normally distributed (mesokurtic)
0.159
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Packaging & Containers
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
930.40M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -4.31% lower than the industry
47.70%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
930.40M
Effective Tax Rate:
1.32%
-0.370830749
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -7.54% lower than the industry
-55.07%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 47.70% higher than the industry
-7.54%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is 35.76% more than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -55.07% lower than the industry
-0.155319417
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$31.26
-1.41089606
Current ratio is -15.53% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is 241.08% higher than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -141.09% below industry average
-0.876438143
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -88% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.90687078
Profit generated per employee:
$7.71
-91%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -91% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
0.303338434
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates 30% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
0.303338434
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Packaging & Containers
$57.92
PAPA JOHN'S INTERNATIONAL, INC. (XNAS:PZZA)
MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED (XNAS:MLCO)
WINGSTOP INC. (XNAS:WING)
NIKOLA CORPORATION (XNAS:NKLA)
Diversey Holdings, Ltd. (XNAS:DSEY)
DRIVEN BRANDS HOLDINGS INC. (XNAS:DRVN)
LESLIE'S, INC. (XNAS:LESL)
THE WENDY'S COMPANY (XNAS:WEN)
Current Analyst Ratings
$3.33
Strong buy�0%
Buy�4%
Hold�42%
Sell�4%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
5.88B
4.95B
63%
-
-
380.74M
-
-
5.33B
-
111.35M
258.56M
58%
108.96M
- 92480.00K
33%
108.96M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
84.88M
Differed Income Tax :
69.07M
Stock Based Compensation :
-
Change in Working Capital :
4.88M
Accounts Receivables:
- 429082.00K
Other Working Capital:
- 29881.00K
Other Non-Cash Items:
- 12660.00K
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
2.86M
Investments in PP&E:
- 267401.00K
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
- 1333.00K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
259.56M
-
259.56M
852.88M
1.02B
150.65M
2.28B
1.98B
2.02B
817.45M
-
-
607.17M
5.43B
-
7.71B
850.53M
539.13M
-
-
327.29M
1.72B
3.45B
475.74M
4.36B
-
6.07B
1.75M
2.76B
- 244642.0K
Value
380.74M
-
1.64B
7.71B
-
3.98B
-
-
- 68694.00K
- 70027.00K
- 324408.00K
-
- 11474.00K
- 18722.00K
318.76M
- 35843.00K
1.40M
- 371875.00K
259.56M
631.44M
- 267401.00K
- 68491.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
0.009856064
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Packaging & Containers
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
47.56665
$47.57
$49.97
$52.49
$55.14