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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
SCI
Primary Facts
Personal Services
Name:
-
Sector:
275.43M
Industry:
61.58
CEO:
Mr. Thomas Ryan
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
-0.262295494
-1.052611843
Service Corporation International (XNYS:SCI) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
SERVICE CORPORATION INTERNATIONAL (XNYS:SCI)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$61.84
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$63.15
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$61.84
Price Upper limit ($) :
$64.72
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P344
This week:
$58.98
This month :
$55.76
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
157.68M
Market Cap Classification:
9.71B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-12.84%
$49.94
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$68.07
11.89%
$55.09
$73.65
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$65.06
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$49.51
$58.10
$66.25
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Personal Services
Sharpe Ratio:
SCI, is amongst the top 40% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
0.28%
8.745583916
Sharpe ratio is 874.56% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Personal Services
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.07%
Monthly returns:
0.33%
Yearly returns:
16.03%
Comparison of returns:
92.55266112
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 9255.27% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
SCI is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.68
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& ratio is 21.63% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.09%
Monthly Volatility:
4.67%
Yearly Volatility:
9.35%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
40.75%
-63.06%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -63.06% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-4.23%
Monthly VaR:
-9.45%
How Much Can the price of
Personal Services
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: High (50-70%)
Worst case (decline):
$51.76
This translates to price declining to:
-16%
This translates to price declining to:
-65.48%
Severe Crash Probability
-18.90%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
14.29%
SCI is a 33.41% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 14.29% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
SCI is a 33.41% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Personal Services
0.759
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.629
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.678
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.76
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -11.88% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.287
-0.584
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -58.35% lower than peers
-0.118847021
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is 21.74% above industry mean WACC
72.40%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.958
-1.865
4.892
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Personal Services
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 489% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.077
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -7.75% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
3.15%
After-tax cost of debt:
3.82%
Overall debt rating:
3.02%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
3.82%
21.74%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $20.18
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -33.83% below the industry mean
149.55%
EPS:
Seven Hundred Fifty Million Eight Hundred Twenty-One Thousand Two Hundred Eighty Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
15826.64%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -38.98% below the industry mean
-
-8.927474353
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.46%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -18% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Personal Services
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is 72.40% above industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
13.3
-0.678538676
195.6395632
-0.68523749
$3.90
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $48.09
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$26.49
-0.338301192
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -33.83% below the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is 149.55% above the industry average
-130.85%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -130.85% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: 5.04%
$0.25
Previous Dividend: $0.25
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.25
Previous Dividend: $0.96
Expected next dividend best case: $0.27
Expected next dividend worst case: $0.23
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.21
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 3.43%
Expected next dividend payment date: 28/09/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 13/09/2022
-
Previous dividend payment date: 30/06/2022
Previous dividend record date: 15/06/2022
Dividend History:
-
2022-03-14--$0.25
2021-09-14--$0.23
2022-06-14--$0.25
2021-12-14--$0.23
2021-06-14--$0.21
1.105893955
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
202.21%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 2.6 years
Debt to assets ratio:
24.11%
Net debt to assets ratio:
215.06%
-68.83%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -68.83% below industry average
-0.87
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.3x
45.00%
0.46%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
20.19271056
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.29%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.611
26.79%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.611
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.373
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.048
Kurtosis
0.058
7.739
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.295
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Personal Services
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
1.30B
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is 67.28% higher than the industry
149.65%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
1.30B
Effective Tax Rate:
0.46%
-0.021094944
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -33.96% lower than the industry
-125.89%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 149.65% higher than the industry
-33.96%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -86.52% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -125.89% lower than the industry
-0.418988231
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$25.13
-0.467886624
Current ratio is -41.90% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is -892.75% lower than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -46.79% below industry average
-0.391891194
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -39% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.180252052
Profit generated per employee:
$9.29
-33%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -33% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-0.420422054
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -42% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-0.420422054
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Personal Services
$105.61
FARFETCH LIMITED (XNYS:FTCH)
TAPESTRY, INC. (XNYS:TPR)
WILLIAMS-SONOMA, INC. (XNYS:WSM)
LEAR CORPORATION (XNYS:LEA)
RH (XNYS:RH)
On Holding Ltd (XNYS:ONON)
BORGWARNER INC. (XNYS:BWA)
Berry Global Group, Inc. (XNYS:BERY)
Current Analyst Ratings
$4.73
Strong buy�13%
Buy�8%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
4.18B
2.87B
124%
-
143.08M
143.08M
-
-
3.02B
-
153.83M
276.01M
140%
241.87M
- 148605.00K
99%
241.87M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
219.57M
Differed Income Tax :
72.36M
Stock Based Compensation :
- 4580.00K
Change in Working Capital :
3.69M
Accounts Receivables:
36.91M
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
73.82M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
4.23M
Investments in PP&E:
332.17M
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
2.99M
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
300.56M
-
300.56M
103.03M
28.65M
26.49M
458.73M
4.15B
1.92B
-
6.47B
-
2.46B
15.00B
-
15.46B
645.13M
63.86M
66.22M
-
66.22M
775.21M
3.96B
2.30B
12.84B
-
13.61B
159.16M
678.93M
47.5M
Value
143.08M
-
1.84B
15.46B
-
4.03B
-
-
- 58640.00K
- 55654.00K
- 18134.00K
-
- 256355.00K
- 39964.00K
62.76M
- 251698.00K
2.56M
27.38M
305.93M
278.56M
332.17M
- 56748.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-40.91382136
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Personal Services
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
86.55585043
$65.04
$90.97
$95.61
$100.49