_edited.png)
RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
SCHL
Primary Facts
Publishing
Name:
-
Sector:
53.40M
Industry:
47.41
CEO:
Mr. Richard Robinson
Total Employees:
Small Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
1.45343349
0
Scholastic Corporation (XNAS:SCHL) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
SCHOLASTIC CORPORATION (XNAS:SCHL)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$47.64
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$48.8
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$47.65
Price Upper limit ($) :
$50.19
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P202
This week:
$44.92
This month :
$41.84
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
34.15M
Market Cap Classification:
1.59B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
B
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-13.4%
$36.27
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$53.64
13.4%
$41.18
$58.97
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$50.77
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$35.85
$44.05
$51.91
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Publishing
Sharpe Ratio:
SCHL, is amongst the top 40% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
1.36%
0.638239491
Sharpe ratio is 63.82% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Publishing
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.07%
Monthly returns:
0.33%
Yearly returns:
15.94%
Comparison of returns:
0.528131577
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 52.81% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
SCHL is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.38
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -2.52% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.59%
Monthly Volatility:
5.79%
Yearly Volatility:
11.59%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
50.50%
-32.46%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -32.46% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-5.25%
Monthly VaR:
-11.75%
How Much Can the price of
Publishing
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: High (50-70%)
Worst case (decline):
$37.92
This translates to price declining to:
-20%
This translates to price declining to:
-81.40%
Severe Crash Probability
-23.50%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
42.08%
SCHL is a 65.84% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 42.08% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
SCHL is a 65.84% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Publishing
0.873
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.601
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.567
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.87
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -6.82% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.844
-0.964
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -96.37% lower than peers
-0.068183032
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
-
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.801
6.868
4.336
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Publishing
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 434% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.046
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -4.57% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
8.82%
After-tax cost of debt:
-
Overall debt rating:
-
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
-
-
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $6.57
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is 2.19% above the industry mean
1627.24%
EPS:
Thirty-Two Million Four Hundred Thirty-Six Thousand Three Hundred Sixty Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
Price to free cash flow ratio is -62.98% lower than the industry
32.06%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -51.76% below the industry mean
-
-1.012499356
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 62.94%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -82% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Publishing
P/E Ratio:
-
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
21.27
-0.262113751
28.54215542
0.661051848
-
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $20.95
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$19.36
0.0219477
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is 2.19% above the industry mean
-
-0.629844031
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is 1627.24% above the industry average
26.87%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is 26.87% higher than the average industry net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: -31.33%
$0.15
Previous Dividend: $0.15
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.15
Previous Dividend: $0.60
-
-
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.15
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 0.00%
Expected next dividend payment date: 13/09/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 28/07/2022
Expected next dividend declaration date: 14/06/2022
Previous dividend payment date: 15/06/2022
Previous dividend record date: 29/04/2022
Dividend History:
Previous dividend declaration date: 16/03/2022
2022-01-28--$0.15
2021-08-30--$0.15
2022-04-28--$0.15
2021-10-28--$0.15
2021-04-29--$0.15
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
-11.78%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 5.5 years
Debt to assets ratio:
-7.03%
Net debt to assets ratio:
5.23%
-92.15%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -92.15% below industry average
-
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.0x
17.21%
62.94%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
10.63029099
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.37%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.377
-15.94%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.377
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.142
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.042
Kurtosis
0.063
6.592
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.116
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Publishing
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
329.90M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -168.29% lower than the industry
71.14%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
329.90M
Effective Tax Rate:
-9.04%
0.145018412
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -123.41% lower than the industry
-121.85%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 71.14% higher than the industry
-123.41%
Financial Leverage:
-
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -121.85% lower than the industry
-0.11922426
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$1.76
-0.354476725
Current ratio is -11.92% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is -101.25% lower than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -35.45% below industry average
-0.539058906
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -54% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.81866053
Profit generated per employee:
$0.97
-119%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -119% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
2.630510319
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates 263% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
2.630510319
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Publishing
$78.12
LIBERTY MEDIA CORPORATION (XNAS:BATRA)
LIBERTY MEDIA CORPORATION (XNAS:BATRK)
RADIUS GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE, INC. (XNAS:RADI)
GOGO INC. (XNAS:GOGO)
TABOOLA.COM LTD (XNAS:TBLA)
AVID TECHNOLOGY, INC. (XNAS:AVID)
Shenandoah Telecommunications Company (XNAS:SHEN)
THRYV HOLDINGS, INC. (XNAS:THRY)
Current Analyst Ratings
$0.99
Strong buy�0%
Buy�4%
Hold�4%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
2/28/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
661.20M
331.30M
99%
-
-
529.20M
-
29.40M
701.60M
-
-
58.20M
4%
- 8600.00K
- 3000.00K
-11%
- 8600.00K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
- 24200.00K
Differed Income Tax :
23.20M
Stock Based Compensation :
-
Change in Working Capital :
1.50M
Accounts Receivables:
57.20M
Other Working Capital:
48.90M
Other Non-Cash Items:
18.90M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
5.90M
Investments in PP&E:
63.60M
Net Acquisitions:
- 10200.00K
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
8/31/2021
2022
Q1
308.60M
-
308.60M
279.70M
298.10M
71.70M
958.10M
622.30M
125.90M
-
-
25.10M
193.90M
967.20M
-
1.93B
185.60M
113.30M
28.50M
125.50M
237.20M
661.60M
60.00M
54.10M
114.10M
-
775.70M
400.00K
887.00M
- 40400.0K
Value
370.30M
301.30M
1.15B
1.92B
-
173.30M
-
-
- 4300.00K
- 14500.00K
- 101900.00K
-
-
- 5200.00K
1.50M
- 105600.00K
- 1400.00K
- 57900.00K
308.60M
366.50M
63.60M
- 10200.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
0
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Publishing
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
62.19523483
$62.20
$65.84
$69.70
$73.79