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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
ROL
Primary Facts
Personal Services
Name:
-
Sector:
79.54M
Industry:
33.74
CEO:
Mr. Gary Rollins
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.87207199
-0.825077762
Rollins, Inc. (XNYS:ROL) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
ROLLINS, INC. (XNYS:ROL)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$33.86
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$34.45
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$33.88
Price Upper limit ($) :
$35.17
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P218
This week:
$32.39
This month :
$30.72
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
492.42M
Market Cap Classification:
17.62B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-10.81%
$27.7
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$37.09
10.04%
$30.39
$40.00
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$35.53
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$27.48
$31.95
$36.15
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Personal Services
Sharpe Ratio:
ROL, is amongst the top 40% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
0.28%
11.59622591
Sharpe ratio is 1159.62% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Personal Services
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.08%
Monthly returns:
0.40%
Yearly returns:
19.21%
Comparison of returns:
111.0945273
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 11109.45% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
ROL is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.89
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& ratio is 57.21% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
1.99%
Monthly Volatility:
4.44%
Yearly Volatility:
8.89%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
38.73%
-48.76%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -48.76% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-4.00%
Monthly VaR:
-8.95%
How Much Can the price of
Personal Services
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: High (50-70%)
Worst case (decline):
$28.71
This translates to price declining to:
-15%
This translates to price declining to:
-61.98%
Severe Crash Probability
-17.89%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
8.18%
ROL is a 26.28% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 8.18% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
ROL is a 26.28% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Personal Services
0.629
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.477
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.614
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.63
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -27.02% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.483
-0.478
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -47.83% lower than peers
-0.270233515
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -2.12% below industry mean WACC
-13.00%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.868
-2.324
7.483
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Personal Services
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 748% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.176
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -17.62% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
5.73%
After-tax cost of debt:
0.15%
Overall debt rating:
0.12%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
0.15%
-2.12%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
-
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is 90.77% above the industry mean
97.48%
EPS:
Three Hundred Twenty-Nine Million Nine Hundred Forty-Eight Thousand Eight Hundred Seventy Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
Price to free cash flow ratio is 33.97% higher than the industry
9590.54%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is 73.73% above the industry mean
-
-10.85941943
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 21.31%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -69% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Personal Services
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is -13.00% below industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
50.03
0.20966321
27.712158
0.217516153
$0.69
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$5.04
0.907692068
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is 90.77% above the industry mean
-
0.339720644
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is 97.48% above the industry average
-116.48%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -116.48% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: 14.89%
$0.10
Previous Dividend: $0.10
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.10
Previous Dividend: $0.46
Expected next dividend best case: $0.13
Expected next dividend worst case: $0.07
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.10
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 21.13%
Expected next dividend payment date: 09/08/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 08/08/2022
Expected next dividend declaration date: 25/07/2022
Previous dividend payment date: 06/10/2022
Previous dividend record date: 05/10/2022
Dividend History:
Previous dividend declaration date: 26/04/2022
2022-02-09--$0.10
2021-08-09--$0.08
2022-05-09--$0.10
2021-11-09--$0.08
2021-05-07--$0.08
11.97304352
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
25.44%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 0.0 years
Debt to assets ratio:
13.22%
Net debt to assets ratio:
40.69%
-74.30%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -74.30% below industry average
8.71
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.3x
-183.51%
21.31%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
18.48205787
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.26%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.577
19.73%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.577
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.333
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.027
Kurtosis
-0.031
5.513
Skewness of returns:
Returns have moderate fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.436
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Personal Services
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
1.28B
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is 17.38% higher than the industry
57.50%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
1.28B
Effective Tax Rate:
1.86%
0.095172444
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is 99.48% higher than the industry
-117.94%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 57.50% higher than the industry
99.48%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is 871.36% more than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -117.94% lower than the industry
0.013724959
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$0.92
-0.039593613
Current ratio is 1.37% above industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is -1085.94% lower than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -3.96% below industry average
-0.62725665
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -63% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.685909724
Profit generated per employee:
$1.10
-71%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -71% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-0.827146421
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -83% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-0.827146421
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Personal Services
$41.02
DARDEN RESTAURANTS, INC. (XNYS:DRI)
LB Group Co., Ltd. (XSHE:002601)
NVR, Inc. (XNYS:NVR)
Amcor plc (XNYS:AMCR)
GENUINE PARTS COMPANY (XNYS:GPC)
MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (XNYS:MGM)
DOMINO'S PIZZA, INC. (XNYS:DPZ)
PULTEGROUP, INC. (XNYS:PHM)
Current Analyst Ratings
$0.67
Strong buy�0%
Buy�4%
Hold�13%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
2.48B
1.20B
207%
-
565.28M
744.07M
-
95.46M
2.04B
504.00K
792.00K
95.46M
87%
116.88M
3.91M
72%
116.88M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
72.45M
Differed Income Tax :
24.85M
Stock Based Compensation :
2.05M
Change in Working Capital :
6.14M
Accounts Receivables:
- 20922.00K
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
1.64M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
2.98M
Investments in PP&E:
87.53M
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
- 13223.00K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
258.34M
-
258.34M
164.25M
29.06M
44.86M
496.51M
373.72M
730.14M
438.42M
-
-
92.35M
1.63B
-
2.13B
38.59M
89.46M
-
156.52M
196.33M
480.90M
450.62M
92.10M
542.72M
-
1.02B
492.46M
524.16M
- 13874.0K
Value
839.52M
104.78M
1.11B
2.13B
-
540.09M
-
-
- 6705.00K
- 19928.00K
- 122000.00K
-
- 6434.00K
- 49205.00K
259.73M
82.09M
3.34M
153.04M
258.34M
105.30M
87.53M
- 7995.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-55.94510398
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Personal Services
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
34.76595349
$34.77
$36.23
$37.77
$39.36