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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
RGP
Primary Facts
Consulting Services
Name:
-
Sector:
- 557.00K
Industry:
19.39
CEO:
Ms. Kate W. Duchene
Total Employees:
Small Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.54122912
-1.720129369
Resources Connection, Inc. (XNAS:RGP) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
RESOURCES CONNECTION, INC. (XNAS:RGP)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$19.48
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$19.91
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$19.49
Price Upper limit ($) :
$20.43
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P248
This week:
$18.35
This month :
$17.07
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
33.46M
Market Cap Classification:
653.42M
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-13.6%
$14.75
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$21.99
15.2%
$16.79
$24.21
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$20.79
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$14.57
$17.99
$21.27
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Consulting Services
Sharpe Ratio:
RGP, is amongst the top 40% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
2.16%
-0.006633642
Sharpe ratio is -0.66% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Consulting Services
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.07%
Monthly returns:
0.33%
Yearly returns:
15.69%
Comparison of returns:
0.065655781
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 6.57% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
RGP is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.52
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -6.04% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.64%
Monthly Volatility:
5.90%
Yearly Volatility:
11.80%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
51.44%
-56.09%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -56.09% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-5.35%
Monthly VaR:
-11.97%
How Much Can the price of
Consulting Services
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: High (50-70%)
Worst case (decline):
$15.43
This translates to price declining to:
-20%
This translates to price declining to:
-82.95%
Severe Crash Probability
-23.95%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
44.79%
RGP is a 69.01% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 44.79% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
RGP is a 69.01% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Consulting Services
0.795
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.588
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.888
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.79
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are right (positive) skewed; mean returns are greater than median and mode returns
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -10.63% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.691
-0.191
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -19.06% lower than peers
-0.106250176
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is 19.00% above industry mean WACC
-38.34%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
1.256
0.294
4.516
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Consulting Services
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 452% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.070
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -7.00% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
7.47%
After-tax cost of debt:
1.67%
Overall debt rating:
1.32%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
1.67%
19.00%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $6.52
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -75.08% below the industry mean
-142.01%
EPS:
-
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
Price to free cash flow ratio is 137.20% higher than the industry
-
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -60.84% below the industry mean
-
0.826671658
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 16.17%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -77% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Consulting Services
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is -38.34% below industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
9.68
-0.499125457
-11.01707019
-2.759996049
$0.71
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $14.02
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$22.72
-0.750793526
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -75.08% below the industry mean
-
1.371971583
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -142.01% below industry average
-74.10%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -74.10% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: 6.59%
$0.14
Previous Dividend: $0.14
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.14
Previous Dividend: $0.56
-
-
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.14
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 0.00%
Expected next dividend payment date: 09/06/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 08/09/2022
Expected next dividend declaration date: 07/12/2022
Previous dividend payment date: 06/08/2022
Previous dividend record date: 05/11/2022
Dividend History:
Previous dividend declaration date: 13/04/2022
2022-02-16--$0.14
2021-08-25--$0.14
2022-05-10--$0.14
2021-11-17--$0.14
2021-05-12--$0.14
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
-0.06%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 4.6 years
Debt to assets ratio:
-0.04%
Net debt to assets ratio:
15.21%
-82.67%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -82.67% below industry average
3.07
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.1x
-280.96%
16.17%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
11.67363924
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.38%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.408
-20.12%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.408
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.166
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.031
Kurtosis
0.048
6.118
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
0.578
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Consulting Services
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
295.25M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -19.03% lower than the industry
-18.04%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
295.25M
Effective Tax Rate:
2.33%
-0.946472949
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is 84.01% higher than the industry
-0.84%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -18.04% lower than the industry
84.01%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is 307.33% more than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -0.84% lower than the industry
0.482762162
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$1.55
2.879448097
Current ratio is 48.28% above industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is 82.67% higher than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is 287.94% above industry average
-0.451813132
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -45% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.772295449
Profit generated per employee:
$2.39
-65%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -65% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-0.985326156
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -99% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-0.985326156
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Consulting Services
$15.40
ASTRONICS CORPORATION (XNAS:ATRO)
MUDRICK CAPITAL ACQ II UNT (XNAS:MUDSU)
DISTRIBUTION SOLUTIONS GROUP, INC. (XNAS:DSGR)
WILLDAN GROUP, INC. (XNAS:WLDN)
AERSALE CORPORATION (XNAS:ASLE)
GSHT
CONCRETE PUMPING HOLDINGS, INC. (XNAS:BBCP)
XONE
Current Analyst Ratings
-$0.57
Strong buy�0%
Buy�0%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
2/26/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
760.30M
465.05M
155%
-
-
216.15M
-
8.35M
689.55M
-
1.03M
8.35M
42%
746.00K
- 114.00K
37%
746.00K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
12.92M
Differed Income Tax :
2.02M
Stock Based Compensation :
- 52.00K
Change in Working Capital :
1.63M
Accounts Receivables:
- 16945.00K
Other Working Capital:
2.42M
Other Non-Cash Items:
137.87M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
887.00K
Investments in PP&E:
464.00K
Net Acquisitions:
- 1021.00K
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
8/28/2021
2022
Q1
61.90M
-
61.90M
164.63M
-
6.73M
233.25M
42.74M
215.93M
19.70M
-
1.55M
1.46M
281.38M
-
514.64M
18.14M
9.83M
-
-
67.41M
95.38M
51.86M
8.32M
78.41M
-
173.79M
649.00K
375.43M
- 9228.0K
Value
224.49M
- 26002.00K
340.85M
514.64M
-
61.69M
-
-
15.00K
- 1006.00K
- 10000.00K
-
-
- 4603.00K
3.22M
- 11387.00K
- 563.00K
- 12492.00K
61.90M
74.39M
464.00K
- 1021.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-22.19874625
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Consulting Services
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
12.50907073
$20.53
$13.18
$13.88
$14.62