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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
PPC
Primary Facts
Packaged Foods
Name:
-
Sector:
145.42M
Industry:
27.96
CEO:
Mr. Jayson Penn
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.743006543
-1.417120708
Pilgrim'S Pride Corporation (XNAS:PPC) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
PILGRIM'S PRIDE CORPORATION (XNAS:PPC)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$28.1
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$28.82
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$28.08
Price Upper limit ($) :
$29.68
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P380
This week:
$26.5
This month :
$24.7
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
239.05M
Market Cap Classification:
6.47B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-15.21%
$21.44
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$31.64
20.55%
$24.28
$34.73
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$29.98
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$21.19
$25.94
$30.64
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Packaged Foods
Sharpe Ratio:
PPC, is amongst the top 40% lowest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
1.31%
-0.847541772
Sharpe ratio is -84.75% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Packaged Foods
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.01%
Monthly returns:
0.07%
Yearly returns:
3.34%
Comparison of returns:
-0.602729992
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -60.27% below industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
PPC is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.67
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -91.23% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.55%
Monthly Volatility:
5.69%
Yearly Volatility:
11.39%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
49.63%
-71.80%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -71.80% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-5.21%
Monthly VaR:
-11.66%
How Much Can the price of
Packaged Foods
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Low (<25%)
Worst case (decline):
$22.24
This translates to price declining to:
-20%
This translates to price declining to:
-80.79%
Severe Crash Probability
-23.32%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
41.02%
PPC is a 64.60% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 41.02% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
PPC is a 64.60% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Packaged Foods
0.917
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.614
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.673
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.92
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is 56.51% above industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.486
0.156
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is 15.61% higher than peers
0.565073927
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is 22.28% above industry mean WACC
-87.08%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.951
-5.849
-3.875
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Packaged Foods
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is -387% below the market average
0.317
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is 31.66% above industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
5.00%
After-tax cost of debt:
4.04%
Overall debt rating:
3.19%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
4.04%
22.28%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
-
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -81.69% below the industry mean
3.48%
EPS:
Two Hundred Six Million Six Hundred Eighty-Three Thousand Eight Hundred Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
-424.81%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -49.74% below the industry mean
-
-
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.87%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -87% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Packaged Foods
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is -87.08% below industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
9.17
-0.762675145
33.23064501
-0.158607966
$1.37
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$65.86
-0.816943744
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -81.69% below the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is 3.48% above the industry average
-911.89%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -911.89% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
-
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
108.94%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 12.2 years
Debt to assets ratio:
32.52%
Net debt to assets ratio:
130.88%
-27.51%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -27.51% below industry average
-0.98
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.6x
-86.02%
0.87%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
15.9007187
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.42%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.519
21.01%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.519
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.27
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.061
Kurtosis
0.09
11.195
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
0.444
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Packaged Foods
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
1.65B
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -72.21% lower than the industry
-40.17%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
1.65B
Effective Tax Rate:
0.93%
-0.206860742
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -49.24% lower than the industry
-31.26%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -40.17% lower than the industry
-49.24%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -97.70% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -31.26% lower than the industry
-0.441517796
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$15.23
-1.038680299
Current ratio is -44.15% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -103.87% below industry average
-0.666646056
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -67% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.872836306
Profit generated per employee:
$3.60
-93%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -93% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-1.651223239
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -165% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-1.651223239
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Packaged Foods
$27.49
Innovator Lddrd Alloc PB (BATS:BUFF)
CASEY'S GENERAL STORES, INC. (XNAS:CASY)
COCA-COLA CONSOLIDATED, INC. (XNAS:COKE)
CHS Inc. (XNAS:CHSCN)
Oatly Group AB (XNAS:OTLY)
LANCASTER COLONY CORPORATION (XNAS:LANC)
BEYOND MEAT, INC. (XNAS:BYND)
SANDERSON FARMS, INC. (XNAS:SAFM)
Current Analyst Ratings
$0.86
Strong buy�4%
Buy�0%
Hold�33%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/27/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
15.74B
14.10B
42%
-
-
1.19B
-
-
15.28B
4.96M
151.75M
396.43M
21%
100.98M
- 142370.00K
7%
100.98M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
280.56M
Differed Income Tax :
102.14M
Stock Based Compensation :
- 21917.00K
Change in Working Capital :
1.96M
Accounts Receivables:
- 139324.00K
Other Working Capital:
- 2454.00K
Other Non-Cash Items:
81.72M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
3.57M
Investments in PP&E:
227.00M
Net Acquisitions:
- 81578.00K
Purchases of Investments:
- 4847.00K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/27/2022
2022
Q1
725.54M
-
725.54M
1.09B
1.71B
271.70M
3.79B
3.23B
1.32B
938.56M
-
5.19M
32.07M
5.53B
-
9.32B
1.35B
115.24M
231.14M
21.52M
985.15M
2.48B
3.64B
63.27M
4.05B
-
6.52B
2.62M
1.28B
- 98902.0K
Value
1.19B
-
2.78B
9.31B
-
3.76B
-
-
849.00K
- 85576.00K
- 32093.00K
-
- 27023.00K
-
225.45M
166.33M
- 2073.00K
305.68M
755.80M
450.12M
227.00M
- 81578.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-143.354822
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Packaged Foods
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
21.63871283
$21.64
$22.97
$24.39
$25.89