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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
PLYM
Primary Facts
REIT�Industrial
Name:
-
Sector:
14.29M
Industry:
20.11
CEO:
Mr. Jeffrey Witherell
Total Employees:
Small Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.713294874
-0.031640513
Plymouth Industrial Reit, Inc. (XNYS:PLYM) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
PLYMOUTH INDUSTRIAL REIT, INC. (XNYS:PLYM)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$20.26
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$20.98
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$20.22
Price Upper limit ($) :
$21.86
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P491
This week:
$18.91
This month :
$17.42
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
40.13M
Market Cap Classification:
813.39M
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-22.93%
$14.73
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$23.13
19.76%
$17.09
$25.69
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$21.75
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$14.53
$18.47
$22.29
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
REIT�Industrial
Sharpe Ratio:
PLYM, is amongst the top 60% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
2.42%
-0.345746047
Sharpe ratio is -34.57% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
REIT�Industrial
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.06%
Monthly returns:
0.28%
Yearly returns:
13.29%
Comparison of returns:
-0.055035058
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -5.50% below industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
PLYM is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.86
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -30.50% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.94%
Monthly Volatility:
6.57%
Yearly Volatility:
13.14%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
57.26%
-72.49%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -72.49% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-5.98%
Monthly VaR:
-13.37%
How Much Can the price of
REIT�Industrial
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Medium (<50%)
Worst case (decline):
$15.48
This translates to price declining to:
-23%
This translates to price declining to:
-92.60%
Severe Crash Probability
-26.73%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
61.63%
PLYM is a 88.66% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 61.63% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
PLYM is a 88.66% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
REIT�Industrial
1.292
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.656
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.749
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--1.29
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are left (negative) skewed; mean returns are lower than median and mode returns
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is 75.71% above industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
-
-0.153
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -15.30% lower than peers
0.757092822
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is 10.57% above industry mean WACC
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
1.059
-0.780
0.822
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
REIT�Industrial
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 82% compared to market & is healthy
0.466
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is 46.58% above industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
-
After-tax cost of debt:
2.55%
Overall debt rating:
2.01%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
2.55%
10.57%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $5.28
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -60.23% below the industry mean
-456.86%
EPS:
-
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
Price to free cash flow ratio is -48.76% lower than the industry
-194.59%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -50.30% below the industry mean
-
-5.686412772
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 3.70%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates 46% more EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
REIT�Industrial
P/E Ratio:
-
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
0
-271.3059701
-1.074122954
-
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $6.00
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$3.78
-0.602266102
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -60.23% below the industry mean
-
-0.487612218
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -456.86% below industry average
-570.08%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -570.08% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: -56.60%
$0.22
Previous Dividend: $0.22
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.22
Previous Dividend: $0.86
Expected next dividend best case: $0.28
Expected next dividend worst case: $0.16
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.24
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: -3.69%
Expected next dividend payment date: 27/10/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 28/09/2022
-
Previous dividend payment date: 29/07/2022
Previous dividend record date: 30/06/2022
Dividend History:
-
2022-03-30--$0.22
2021-09-29--$0.21
2022-06-29--$0.22
2021-12-30--$0.21
2021-06-29--$0.21
-0.598616963
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
162.36%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 18.8 years
Debt to assets ratio:
57.40%
Net debt to assets ratio:
134.54%
-71.76%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -71.76% below industry average
-73.26
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.9x
-345.88%
3.70%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
14.6208147
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.44%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.488
-20.94%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.488
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.238
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.058
Kurtosis
0.099
14.463
Skewness of returns:
Returns have severe fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are considerably more likely, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.654
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
REIT�Industrial
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
101.22M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -133.88% lower than the industry
-79.05%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
101.22M
Effective Tax Rate:
-2.68%
-
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -129.16% lower than the industry
-138.53%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -79.05% lower than the industry
-129.16%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -7326.12% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -138.53% lower than the industry
-0.937618774
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$17.29
-
Current ratio is -93.76% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is -568.64% lower than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
-
1.361570496
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates 136% more revenue than industry average revenue per employee
0.461772423
Profit generated per employee:
$1.99
-163%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -163% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
0.899841401
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates 90% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
0.899841401
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
REIT�Industrial
$2.27
UMH PROPERTIES, INC. (XNYS:UMH)
ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC. (XNYS:ORC)
ONE LIBERTY PROPERTIES, INC. (XNYS:OLP)
SENIOR PLC (XLON:SNR)
CITY OFFICE REIT, INC. (XNYS:CIO)
CATCHMARK TIMBER TRUST, INC. (XNYS:CTT)
COREPOINT LODGING INC. (XNYS:CPLG)
ARES COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE CORPORATION (XNYS:ACRE)
Current Analyst Ratings
-$4.03
Strong buy�4%
Buy�0%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
151.51M
50.29M
267%
-
13.46M
13.46M
-
77.56M
141.30M
29.00K
21.97M
74.41M
210%
-
- 26957.00K
-44%
-
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
- 4470.00K
Differed Income Tax :
21.15M
Stock Based Compensation :
-
Change in Working Capital :
442.00K
Accounts Receivables:
- 3075.00K
Other Working Capital:
- 2789.00K
Other Non-Cash Items:
- 648.00K
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
246.00K
Investments in PP&E:
14.29M
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
25.61M
-
25.61M
-
-
16.66M
42.27M
-
-
84.98M
-
-
1.33B
1.42B
-
1.46B
-
169.00M
-
-
64.15M
233.15M
693.66M
10.93M
704.59M
-
937.74M
370.00K
- 181668.00K
9.9M
Value
91.02M
542.52M
515.57M
1.45B
-
862.66M
-
-
- 137447.00K
- 137447.00K
- 26630.00K
17.12M
-
- 9338.00K
140.90M
122.05M
-
- 1105.00K
42.27M
43.37M
14.29M
-
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-6.702558048
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
REIT�Industrial
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
1.629491044
$21.97
$1.77
$1.92
$2.09