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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
LNG
Primary Facts
Oil & Gas Midstream
Name:
-
Sector:
2.48B
Industry:
162.36
CEO:
Mr. Jack Fusco
Total Employees:
Large Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.927037949
-0.414248984
Cheniere Energy, Inc. (XNYS:LNG) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
CHENIERE ENERGY, INC. (XNYS:LNG)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$163.38
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$168.49
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$163.38
Price Upper limit ($) :
$174.61
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P349
This week:
$153.86
This month :
$143.36
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
249.78M
Market Cap Classification:
39.57B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-18.1%
$124.36
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$183.16
12.31%
$141.56
$201.72
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$173.16
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$123.00
$151.56
$177.12
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Oil & Gas Midstream
Sharpe Ratio:
LNG, is amongst the top 20% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
2.87%
1.281790346
Sharpe ratio is 128.18% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Oil & Gas Midstream
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.18%
Monthly returns:
0.91%
Yearly returns:
43.50%
Comparison of returns:
0.424751791
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 42.48% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
LNG is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.19
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& ratio is 186.86% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.64%
Monthly Volatility:
5.90%
Yearly Volatility:
11.79%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
51.40%
4.78%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been 4.78% above long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-5.23%
Monthly VaR:
-11.70%
How Much Can the price of
Oil & Gas Midstream
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Very high (>70%)
Worst case (decline):
$132.14
This translates to price declining to:
-19%
This translates to price declining to:
-81.09%
Severe Crash Probability
-23.41%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
41.53%
LNG is a 65.21% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 41.53% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
LNG is a 65.21% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Oil & Gas Midstream
1.123
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.546
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.915
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--1.12
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are left (negative) skewed; mean returns are lower than median and mode returns
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -22.08% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
-0.22
-0.278
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -27.84% lower than peers
-0.220796863
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -37.49% below industry mean WACC
463.72%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
1.294
0.865
20.790
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Oil & Gas Midstream
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 2079% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.167
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -16.74% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
-2.12%
After-tax cost of debt:
4.62%
Overall debt rating:
3.65%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
4.62%
-37.49%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $9.13
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -27.81% below the industry mean
-34.96%
EPS:
-
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
-
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -65.54% below the industry mean
-
-
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 5.05%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -494% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Oil & Gas Midstream
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is 463.72% above industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
0
-254.1901134
-1.63873452
$1,106,640,758,036.20
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $16.39
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$81.10
-0.278081052
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -27.81% below the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -34.96% below industry average
239.87%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is 239.87% higher than the average industry net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: -2.39%
$0.33
Previous Dividend: $0.33
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.33
Previous Dividend: $0.99
-
-
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.33
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 0.00%
Expected next dividend payment date: 15/08/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 08/08/2022
Expected next dividend declaration date: 25/07/2022
Previous dividend payment date: 17/05/2022
Previous dividend record date: 05/10/2022
Dividend History:
Previous dividend declaration date: 26/04/2022
2022-02-04--$0.33
--$0.00
2022-05-09--$0.33
2021-11-02--$0.33
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
-767.90%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 3.2 years
Debt to assets ratio:
71.12%
Net debt to assets ratio:
-819.06%
9.29%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is 9.29% above industry average
-1.28
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
4.1x
-53.46%
5.05%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
13.95779434
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.27%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.471
1.37%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.471
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.221
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.053
Kurtosis
0.081
6.726
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.707
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Oil & Gas Midstream
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
- 511000.00K
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -187.53% lower than the industry
-157.80%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
- 511000.00K
Effective Tax Rate:
-1.19%
0.39217393
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -364.69% lower than the industry
73.80%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -157.80% lower than the industry
-364.69%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -127.89% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is 73.80% higher than the industry
-0.279348303
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$121.65
-0.407425314
Current ratio is -27.93% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -40.74% below industry average
1.110303947
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates 111% more revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-4.940214591
Profit generated per employee:
-$8.48
740%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates 740% more net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
2.764829893
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates 276% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
2.764829893
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Oil & Gas Midstream
$170.95
SERVICE CORPORATION INTERNATIONAL (XNYS:SCI)
CHENIERE ENERGY PARTNERS UNT (XNYS:CQP)
NEXGEN ENERGY LTD. (XNYS:NXE)
Energy Fuels Inc. (XNYS:UUUU)
Denison Mines Corp. (XNYS:DNN)
URANIUM ENERGY CORP. (XNYS:UEC)
CENTRUS ENERGY CORP. (XNYS:LEU)
PINEDALE ENERGY LIMITED (XTSX:MCF.H)
Current Analyst Ratings
-$14.19
Strong buy�25%
Buy�25%
Hold�13%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
20.26B
20.77B
-28%
-
351.00M
351.00M
-
1.51B
22.63B
-
1.43B
1.05B
-65%
- 993000.00K
- 1532000.00K
-106%
- 993000.00K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
- 781000.00K
Differed Income Tax :
271.00M
Stock Based Compensation :
- 206000.00K
Change in Working Capital :
43.00M
Accounts Receivables:
- 101000.00K
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
202.00M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
3.43B
Investments in PP&E:
2.66B
Net Acquisitions:
- 178000.00K
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
2.49B
-
2.49B
1.46B
571.00M
1.19B
5.71B
32.29B
77.00M
-
-
1.45B
534.00M
34.35B
-
40.06B
167.00M
589.00M
-
120.00M
3.73B
4.61B
30.39B
6.32B
36.71B
-
41.31B
1.00M
- 6967000.00K
-
Value
1.86B
3.26B
- 3710000.00K
37.60B
-
30.98B
-
-
-
- 178000.00K
- 1615000.00K
-
- 25000.00K
- 86000.00K
338.00M
- 1388000.00K
-
1.09B
2.91B
1.82B
2.66B
- 178000.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-6.701234788
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Oil & Gas Midstream
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
127.7937437
$127.79
$137.44
$147.81
$158.96