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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
LBRDK
Primary Facts
Telecom Services
Name:
-
Sector:
58.00M
Industry:
99.73
CEO:
Mr. Gregory B. Maffei
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
-0.223304935
-1.180316008
Liberty Broadband Corporation (XNAS:LBRDK) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
LIBERTY BROADBAND CORPORATION (XNAS:LBRDK)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$100.27
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$102.98
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$100.06
Price Upper limit ($) :
$106.22
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P209
This week:
$95.62
This month :
$90.53
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
153.78M
Market Cap Classification:
15.34B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
A+
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-15.84%
$81.33
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$110.17
11.76%
$89.29
$118.84
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$105.49
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$80.62
$93.97
$107.35
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Telecom Services
Sharpe Ratio:
LBRDK, is amongst the top 40% lowest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
0.97%
-1.789038456
Sharpe ratio is -178.90% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Telecom Services
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
-0.01%
Monthly returns:
-0.03%
Yearly returns:
-1.57%
Comparison of returns:
-1.088296559
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -108.83% below industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
LBRDK is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.79
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -133.66% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.01%
Monthly Volatility:
4.48%
Yearly Volatility:
8.97%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
39.10%
26.55%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been 26.55% above long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-4.13%
Monthly VaR:
-9.23%
How Much Can the price of
Telecom Services
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Low (<25%)
Worst case (decline):
$83.38
This translates to price declining to:
-16%
This translates to price declining to:
-63.91%
Severe Crash Probability
-18.45%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
11.56%
LBRDK is a 30.22% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 11.56% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
LBRDK is a 30.22% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Telecom Services
0.969
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.608
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.595
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.97
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are left (negative) skewed; mean returns are lower than median and mode returns
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is 18.32% above industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.707
-0.146
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -14.64% lower than peers
0.183209248
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is 40.90% above industry mean WACC
-51.29%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.841
-2.259
-7.228
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Telecom Services
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is -723% below the market average
0.117
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is 11.73% above industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
7.14%
After-tax cost of debt:
2.68%
Overall debt rating:
2.12%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
2.68%
40.90%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
-
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is 150.34% above the industry mean
929.63%
EPS:
Seven Hundred Sixty-Four Million Seventy-Four Thousand Fifty Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
231.80%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is 19.60% above the industry mean
-
-
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.05%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates 131% more EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Telecom Services
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is -51.29% below industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
46.71
0.583044112
163.7702216
-0.391037033
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$6.37
1.503350818
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is 150.34% above the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is 929.63% above the industry average
115.22%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is 115.22% higher than the average industry net income growth rate
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
-
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
39.67%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 0.4 years
Debt to assets ratio:
22.86%
Net debt to assets ratio:
42.54%
-67.93%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -67.93% below industry average
7.80
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.3x
-
0.05%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
13.29292632
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.35%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.453
-1.78%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.453
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.205
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.05
Kurtosis
-0.059
10.405
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
-0.583
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Telecom Services
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
238.00M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is 3092.86% higher than the industry
-67.77%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
238.00M
Effective Tax Rate:
0.92%
-0.593929055
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -3329.46% lower than the industry
-365.99%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -67.77% lower than the industry
-3329.46%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is 779.65% more than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -365.99% lower than the industry
-0.370309857
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$26.51
-
Current ratio is -37.03% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
-
-0.487664168
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -49% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
1.314637092
Profit generated per employee:
$9.87
395%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates 395% more net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-0.470322436
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -47% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-0.470322436
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Telecom Services
$378.73
LIBERTY BROADBAND CORPORATION (XNAS:LBRDA)
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC. (XNAS:SIRI)
ROKU, INC. (XNAS:ROKU)
PARAMOUNT GLOBAL (XNAS:PARA)
FOX CORPORATION (XNAS:FOX)
FOX CORPORATION (XNAS:FOXA)
WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP. (XNAS:WMG)
Yandex NV (XNAS:YNDX)
Current Analyst Ratings
$5.55
Strong buy�4%
Buy�0%
Hold�4%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
979.47M
-
100%
-
-
438.53M
-
416.06M
753.59M
-
109.86M
267.24M
617%
161.22M
1.22B
501%
161.22M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
299.00M
Differed Income Tax :
64.00M
Stock Based Compensation :
6.00M
Change in Working Capital :
9.00M
Accounts Receivables:
- 288000.00K
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
-
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
-
Investments in PP&E:
90.00M
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
300.00M
-
300.00M
169.00M
-
77.00M
546.00M
1.01B
762.00M
559.00M
-
-
13.75B
16.08B
-
16.63B
-
25.00M
-
22.00M
490.00M
537.00M
4.08B
380.00M
6.49B
-
7.03B
1.00M
4.20B
10.0M
Value
854.59M
5.38B
9.58B
16.61B
-
4.10B
-
-
574.00M
574.00M
- 2000.00K
-
- 843000.00K
-
297.00M
- 548000.00K
-
116.00M
322.00M
206.00M
90.00M
- 32000.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
1057.261307
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Telecom Services
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
294.2938681
$106.75
$313.45
$333.85
$355.58