_edited.png)
RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
KMB
Primary Facts
Household & Personal Products
Name:
-
Sector:
- 49000.00K
Industry:
126.48
CEO:
Mr. Michael Hsu
Total Employees:
Large Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.635518202
-0.319002722
Kimberly-Clark Corporation (XNYS:KMB) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
KIMBERLY-CLARK CORPORATION (XNYS:KMB)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$126.71
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$127.88
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$126.81
Price Upper limit ($) :
$129.27
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P60
This week:
$122.47
This month :
$117.51
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
337.62M
Market Cap Classification:
42.44B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
B
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-8.83%
$108.55
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$136.64
9.7%
$116.32
$145.10
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$132.07
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$107.86
$120.89
$133.88
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Household & Personal Products
Sharpe Ratio:
KMB, is amongst the top 40% lowest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
1.20%
-1.457267492
Sharpe ratio is -145.73% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Household & Personal Products
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.00%
Monthly returns:
0.00%
Yearly returns:
0.09%
Comparison of returns:
-0.990536097
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -99.05% below industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
KMB is a comparatively less risky than Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.24
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -124.11% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
1.54%
Monthly Volatility:
3.45%
Yearly Volatility:
6.90%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
30.10%
-34.53%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -34.53% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-3.17%
Monthly VaR:
-7.09%
How Much Can the price of
Household & Personal Products
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Low (<25%)
Worst case (decline):
$110.62
This translates to price declining to:
-13%
This translates to price declining to:
-49.11%
Severe Crash Probability
-14.18%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
-14.27%
KMB is a 0.07% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is -14.27% less risky than Nasdaq(IXIC)
KMB is a 0.07% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Household & Personal Products
0.329
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.447
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.495
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.33
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -60.64% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.033
-0.558
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -55.81% lower than peers
-0.606399681
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -37.59% below industry mean WACC
70.27%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.700
-14.974
-3.383
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Household & Personal Products
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is -338% below the market average
-0.391
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -39.11% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
0.53%
After-tax cost of debt:
2.84%
Overall debt rating:
2.25%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
2.84%
-37.59%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $111.35
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -40.77% below the industry mean
-55.13%
EPS:
One Billion Seven Hundred Forty-Five Million Two Hundred Seventy-One Thousand Five Hundred Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
Price to free cash flow ratio is -30.58% lower than the industry
-109.92%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -92.64% below the industry mean
-
0.285106522
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 3.57%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -50% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Household & Personal Products
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is 70.27% above industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
23.96
-0.093750367
136.977832
-0.076638912
$4.84
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $136.61
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$58.62
-0.40771151
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -40.77% below the industry mean
-
-0.305762102
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -55.13% below industry average
-98.73%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -98.73% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: 21.91%
$1.16
Previous Dividend: $1.16
Previous adjusted dividend: $1.16
Previous Dividend: $4.60
Expected next dividend best case: $1.20
Expected next dividend worst case: $1.12
Average dividend payment (long-term): $1.11
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 1.22%
Expected next dividend payment date: 10/03/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 09/08/2022
-
Previous dividend payment date: 07/05/2022
Previous dividend record date: 06/10/2022
Dividend History:
-
2022-03-03--$1.16
2021-09-09--$1.14
2022-06-09--$1.16
2021-12-09--$1.14
2021-06-03--$1.14
-1.1119127
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
1216.60%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 7.9 years
Debt to assets ratio:
45.94%
Net debt to assets ratio:
1149.08%
-36.79%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -36.79% below industry average
-0.11
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.8x
-94.67%
3.57%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
13.74378014
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.26%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.465
-16.35%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.465
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.216
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.017
Kurtosis
0.016
8.496
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
0.227
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Household & Personal Products
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
5.92B
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -209.47% lower than the industry
-255.11%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
5.92B
Effective Tax Rate:
0.91%
-0.023754315
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is 131.03% higher than the industry
464.38%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -255.11% lower than the industry
131.03%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -11.40% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is 464.38% higher than the industry
-0.698259737
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$23.99
-1.452899233
Current ratio is -69.83% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is 28.51% higher than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -145.29% below industry average
-0.34170714
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -34% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-0.496704136
Profit generated per employee:
$9.54
-54%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -54% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-1.445710136
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -145% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-1.445710136
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Household & Personal Products
$153.57
CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC. (XNYS:STZ)
CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC. (XNYS:STZ)
KEURIG DR PEPPER INC. (XNAS:KDP)
GENERAL MILLS, INC. (XNYS:GIS)
SYSCO CORPORATION (XNYS:SYY)
Ambev SA (XNYS:ABEV)
THE HERSHEY COMPANY (XNYS:HSY)
ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND COMPANY (XNYS:ADM)
Current Analyst Ratings
$5.18
Strong buy�0%
Buy�8%
Hold�50%
Sell�4%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
19.79B
13.87B
120%
-
-
3.47B
-
- 35000.00K
17.31B
7.00M
258.00M
765.00M
65%
446.00M
- 335000.00K
43%
446.00M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
535.00M
Differed Income Tax :
188.00M
Stock Based Compensation :
- 52000.00K
Change in Working Capital :
16.00M
Accounts Receivables:
- 369000.00K
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
-
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
- 114000.00K
Investments in PP&E:
204.00M
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
- 34000.00K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
493.00M
-
493.00M
2.52B
2.27B
629.00M
5.90B
8.11B
2.18B
926.00M
266.00M
-
1.29B
12.77B
-
18.67B
3.85B
969.00M
-
-
2.44B
7.26B
8.10B
1.77B
10.56B
-
17.82B
473.00M
7.99B
- 3180000.0K
Value
3.44B
- 4576000.00K
705.00M
18.52B
-
9.07B
- 83000.00K
255.00M
- 254000.00K
- 116000.00K
- 300000.00K
-
- 25000.00K
- 384000.00K
842.00M
133.00M
2.00M
223.00M
493.00M
270.00M
204.00M
- 253000.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
19.14103882
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Household & Personal Products
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
140.7228248
$140.72
$143.83
$147.01
$150.26