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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
HCKT
Primary Facts
Information Technology Services
Name:
-
Sector:
5.06M
Industry:
20.18
CEO:
Mr. Ted Fernandez
Total Employees:
Small Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.498942259
-0.956939436
The Hackett Group, Inc. (XNAS:HCKT) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
THE HACKETT GROUP, INC. (XNAS:HCKT)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$20.25
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$20.61
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$20.28
Price Upper limit ($) :
$21.05
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P284
This week:
$19.13
This month :
$17.83
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
31.68M
Market Cap Classification:
625.74M
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-18.26%
$15.48
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$22.81
18.86%
$17.55
$25.06
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$21.60
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$15.30
$18.76
$22.08
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Information Technology Services
Sharpe Ratio:
HCKT, is amongst the top 40% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
1.81%
0.367496444
Sharpe ratio is 36.75% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Information Technology Services
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.07%
Monthly returns:
0.36%
Yearly returns:
17.43%
Comparison of returns:
0.207600596
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 20.76% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
HCKT is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.84
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& ratio is 8.73% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
2.57%
Monthly Volatility:
5.76%
Yearly Volatility:
11.51%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
50.17%
-98.86%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -98.86% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-5.21%
Monthly VaR:
-11.66%
How Much Can the price of
Information Technology Services
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: High (50-70%)
Worst case (decline):
$16.19
This translates to price declining to:
-20%
This translates to price declining to:
-80.77%
Severe Crash Probability
-23.31%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
40.97%
HCKT is a 64.56% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 40.97% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
HCKT is a 64.56% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Information Technology Services
0.639
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.688
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.558
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.64
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -47.15% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.634
-0.625
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -62.47% lower than peers
-0.471490207
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -11.09% below industry mean WACC
-93.48%
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.788
2.295
6.306
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Information Technology Services
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 631% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.342
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -34.15% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
7.47%
After-tax cost of debt:
3.01%
Overall debt rating:
2.38%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
3.01%
-11.09%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $3.66
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -39.83% below the industry mean
-124.73%
EPS:
Forty-Four Million Three Hundred Eleven Thousand Four Hundred Dollars
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
411.01%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -33.70% below the industry mean
-
-0.186842689
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.00%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates 9% more EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Information Technology Services
P/E Ratio:
Sustainable growth rate is -93.48% below industry average
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
14.45
-0.695490997
66.45504675
-0.69633608
$1.34
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $32.99
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$9.18
-0.398334285
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -39.83% below the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -124.73% below industry average
-99.91%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -99.91% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
-
$0.11
Previous Dividend: $0.11
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.11
Previous Dividend: $0.42
Expected next dividend best case: $0.13
Expected next dividend worst case: $0.09
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.11
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: -3.55%
Expected next dividend payment date: 10/06/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 22/09/2022
-
Previous dividend payment date: 07/08/2022
Previous dividend record date: 24/06/2022
Dividend History:
-
2022-03-24--$0.11
2021-09-23--$0.10
2022-06-23--$0.11
2021-12-16--$0.10
2021-06-24--$0.10
-0.506870254
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
-29.60%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 9.4 years
Debt to assets ratio:
-21.35%
Net debt to assets ratio:
0.79%
-99.11%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -99.11% below industry average
12.49
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.0x
-745.77%
0.00%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
11.71730574
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.37%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.409
-31.35%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.409
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.167
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.022
Kurtosis
0.032
11.010
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
0.229
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Information Technology Services
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
111.20M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is -326.14% lower than the industry
-352.59%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
111.20M
Effective Tax Rate:
5.69%
-0.609981013
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is 25576.89% higher than the industry
-45.96%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is -352.59% lower than the industry
25576.89%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is 1248.66% more than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -45.96% lower than the industry
-0.066794195
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$0.04
0.335990168
Current ratio is -6.68% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is -18.68% lower than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is 33.60% above industry average
-0.393470173
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -39% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
0.085888141
Profit generated per employee:
$1.74
373%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates 373% more net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-1.669444373
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -167% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-1.669444373
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Information Technology Services
$77.20
ATTU
Triterras, Inc. (OTCM:TRIRF)
DIGIMARC CORPORATION (XNAS:DMRC)
ALLIED MOTION TECHNOLOGIES INC. (XNAS:AMOT)
QUANTUM CORPORATION (XNAS:QMCO)
ITURAN LOCATION AND CONTROL LTD. (XNAS:ITRN)
Mogo Inc. (XNAS:MOGO)
SIERRA WIRELESS, INC. (XNAS:SWIR)
Current Analyst Ratings
$1.40
Strong buy�8%
Buy�8%
Hold�4%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
4/1/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
290.99M
179.79M
153%
-
60.17M
60.17M
-
-
239.96M
-
98.00K
4.19M
76%
5.25M
- 98.00K
70%
5.25M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
10.51M
Differed Income Tax :
946.00K
Stock Based Compensation :
1.64M
Change in Working Capital :
2.60M
Accounts Receivables:
- 9332.00K
Other Working Capital:
363.00K
Other Non-Cash Items:
1.25M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
- 307.00K
Investments in PP&E:
6.05M
Net Acquisitions:
- 993.00K
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
4/1/2022
2022
Q1
47.75M
-
47.75M
50.51M
-
5.36M
103.63M
19.64M
84.64M
-
-
-
540.00K
104.82M
-
208.45M
8.04M
2.07M
-
15.86M
21.98M
47.96M
1.18M
-
10.17M
-
58.13M
60.00K
18.30M
- 11607.0K
Value
60.17M
143.56M
150.32M
208.45M
-
3.25M
-
-
-
- 993.00K
-
-
- 3066.00K
-
- 10.00K
- 3076.00K
- 27.00K
1.96M
47.75M
45.79M
6.05M
- 993.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-22.17255924
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Information Technology Services
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
65.25053086
$21.16
$68.05
$70.97
$74.02