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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
GTLB
Primary Facts
Software�Application
Name:
-
Sector:
- 74513.00K
Industry:
48.31
CEO:
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.516205177
-1.049839023
Gitlab Inc. (XNAS:GTLB) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
Gitlab Inc. (XNAS:GTLB)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$48.97
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$52.29
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$49.2
Price Upper limit ($) :
$56.28
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P170
This week:
$41.76
This month :
$33.67
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
147.70M
Market Cap Classification:
7.00B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
B
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-15.6%
$19.03
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$65.06
28.01%
$31.56
$78.74
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$57.68
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$17.88
$38.94
$60.60
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Software�Application
Sharpe Ratio:
GTLB, is amongst the top 40% lowest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
0.96%
-3.301560176
Sharpe ratio is -330.16% lower than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Software�Application
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
-0.14%
Monthly returns:
-0.68%
Yearly returns:
-32.66%
Comparison of returns:
-4.287022879
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -428.70% below industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
GTLB is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.05
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& is -197.33% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
6.53%
Monthly Volatility:
14.61%
Yearly Volatility:
29.22%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
127.36%
-
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
-
Weekly VaR:
-13.55%
Monthly VaR:
-30.31%
How Much Can the price of
Software�Application
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Low (<25%)
Worst case (decline):
$21.65
This translates to price declining to:
-55%
This translates to price declining to:
>85%
Severe Crash Probability
-60.62%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
266.52%
GTLB is a 327.83% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 266.52% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
GTLB is a 327.83% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Software�Application
2.455
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.109
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
-
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--2.46
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are right (positive) skewed; mean returns are greater than median and mode returns
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is 83.83% above industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
1.918
-
Average Industry Beta:
-
0.838267828
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
-
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
-
21.292
-33.502
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Software�Application
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is -3350% below the market average
0.624
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is 62.36% above industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
15.60%
After-tax cost of debt:
-
Overall debt rating:
-
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
-
-
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
-
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is 123.64% above the industry mean
-27.71%
EPS:
-
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
-
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -480.80% below the industry mean
Growth rate in R&D investment/expenditure is 5109.20% higher than the industry
-
Debt per share
-
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -1416% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Software�Application
P/E Ratio:
-
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
-
-
-246.8606819
-1.195697426
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$1.88
1.236394251
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is 123.64% above the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -27.71% below industry average
-80.75%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -80.75% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
-
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
122.33%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 0.4 years
Debt to assets ratio:
-78.01%
Net debt to assets ratio:
27.97%
-61.13%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -61.13% below industry average
-9.51
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.3x
-
-
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
0.059921737
Statistical significance of correlation:
-2.11%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.004
-99.20%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.004
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.078
Kurtosis
0.147
2.551
Skewness of returns:
Returns are, approximately, normally distributed (mesokurtic)
0.878
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Software�Application
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
245.71M
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is 337.45% higher than the industry
358.61%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
245.71M
Effective Tax Rate:
-47.97%
-1.006545977
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is 1574.31% higher than the industry
-870.96%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 358.61% higher than the industry
1574.31%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -950.91% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -870.96% lower than the industry
-0.085244812
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$0.00
-0.594890375
Current ratio is -8.52% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -59.49% below industry average
-0.506512137
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates -51% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-14.15914293
Profit generated per employee:
-$1.56
720%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates 720% more net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
4.884933301
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates 488% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
4.884933301
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
79.64%
51.0920097
Competitors/Peer firms of
Software�Application
$103.66
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Current Analyst Ratings
-$1.39
Strong buy�0%
Buy�0%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
4/30/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
278.15M
32.44M
353%
133.81M
126.96M
356.33M
229.37M
-
522.58M
1.23M
510.00K
1.71M
-406%
405.00K
9.87M
-412%
405.00K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
- 192194.00K
Differed Income Tax :
222.00K
Stock Based Compensation :
-
Change in Working Capital :
111.85M
Accounts Receivables:
11.94M
Other Working Capital:
1.47M
Other Non-Cash Items:
22.89M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
- 5395.00K
Investments in PP&E:
- 73580.00K
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
1/31/2021
2021
FY
282.85M
-
282.85M
39.67M
-
25.97M
348.49M
-
-
-
-
-
13.28M
14.07M
-
362.57M
3.11M
-
2.11M
103.54M
20.53M
127.18M
-
435.98M
466.61M
-
593.79M
-
- 398199.00K
- 19915.0K
Value
490.14M
-
- 231222.00K
362.57M
-
-
-
-
- 842.00K
- 842.00K
-
-
- 820.00K
-
13.77M
12.95M
1.00M
- 60477.00K
282.85M
343.33M
- 73580.00K
- 933.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
12.01261993
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Software�Application
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
56.27999528
$56.28
$65.56
$76.38
$88.98