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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
EQT
Primary Facts
Oil & Gas E&P
Name:
-
Sector:
728.94M
Industry:
47.28
CEO:
Mr. Toby Rice
Total Employees:
Mid Cap
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
0.004530668
-0.996022964
Eqt Corporation (XNYS:EQT) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
EQT CORPORATION (XNYS:EQT)
One Month Price Target:
Six Month Price Target :
$47.59
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$49.12
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$47.78
Price Upper limit ($) :
$50.97
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
P335
This week:
$43.25
This month :
$38.27
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
369.96M
Market Cap Classification:
16.81B
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
D
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
-18.66%
$29.27
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$57.09
37.32%
$37.47
$65.93
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$52.33
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$28.63
$42.23
$54.22
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
Oil & Gas E&P
Sharpe Ratio:
EQT, is amongst the top 20% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Comparison:
4.60%
0.644352311
Sharpe ratio is 64.44% higher than the industry
Average Returns/Yield of
Oil & Gas E&P
Daily returns:
1
Weekly returns:
0.33%
Monthly returns:
1.67%
Yearly returns:
80.32%
Comparison of returns:
0.307716763
Classification:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 30.77% above industry average
Results of T-Test of Returns:
EQT is a riskier investment compared to Nasdaq (IXIC)
Statistical test of Returns:
0.24
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
& ratio is 231.54% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Weekly Volatility:
4.31%
Monthly Volatility:
9.64%
Yearly Volatility:
19.28%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
84.04%
-4.93%
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
Volatility in last five trading days has been -4.93% below long-term volatility
Weekly VaR:
-8.52%
Monthly VaR:
-19.05%
How Much Can the price of
Oil & Gas E&P
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Very high (>70%)
Worst case (decline):
$33.17
This translates to price declining to:
-30%
This translates to price declining to:
>85%
Severe Crash Probability
-38.10%
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
130.38%
EQT is a 168.92% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 130.38% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
EQT is a 168.92% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500
Beta Examination of
Oil & Gas E&P
1.160
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.585
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
0.797
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--1.16
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
Returns are right (positive) skewed; mean returns are greater than median and mode returns
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
Beta is -42.35% below industry average
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
0.819
-0.412
Average Industry Beta:
Beta is -41.23% lower than peers
-0.423532995
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
WACC is -29.40% below industry mean WACC
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
1.128
0.556
44.063
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
Oil & Gas E&P
Equity cost of capital:
Alpha is 4406% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
-0.345
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
Equity cost of capital is -34.47% below industry mean WACC
Before-tax cost of debt:
7.84%
After-tax cost of debt:
7.46%
Overall debt rating:
5.89%
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
7.46%
-29.40%
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
-
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
Price to sales ratio is -36.13% below the industry mean
-171.04%
EPS:
-
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-
-128.70%
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
Price to book ratio is -98.73% below the industry mean
-
-1.801332881
Debt per share
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 41.79%
EBITDA per share
Each employee generates -186% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Valuation Analysis Today of
Oil & Gas E&P
P/E Ratio:
-
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
0
-344.9071122
-1.137080386
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
$15.04
-0.361349508
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
Price to sales ratio is -36.13% below the industry mean
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
Annual revenue growth rate is -171.04% below industry average
-108.78%
Dividend Analysis
Net income growth rate is -108.78% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
Dividend payout rate: -1.76%
$0.13
Previous Dividend: $0.13
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.13
Previous Dividend: $0.31
Expected next dividend best case: $0.25
Expected next dividend worst case: $0.00
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.08
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: 105.56%
Expected next dividend payment date: 30/08/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 08/09/2022
Expected next dividend declaration date: 19/07/2022
Previous dividend payment date: 06/01/2022
Previous dividend record date: 05/11/2022
Dividend History:
Previous dividend declaration date: 20/04/2022
2022-02-11--$0.13
2019-11-07--$0.03
2022-05-10--$0.13
2020-02-13--$0.03
--$0.00
1.551035822
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
61.47%
Net debt to equity ratio:
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 2.8 years
Debt to assets ratio:
23.07%
Net debt to assets ratio:
55.64%
-60.78%
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
Debt-to-asset ratio is -60.78% below industry average
-1.49
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
1.3x
-
41.79%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
7.949357305
Statistical significance of correlation:
-0.40%
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.291
-26.31%
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.291
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.084
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.01
Kurtosis
-0.025
8.773
Skewness of returns:
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
1.079
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
Oil & Gas E&P
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
4.52B
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
Net profit margin is 3389.33% higher than the industry
4156.98%
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
4.52B
Effective Tax Rate:
-0.28%
0.273930742
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
Return on assets (ROA) is -632.47% lower than the industry
-483.10%
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
Operating profit margin is 4156.98% higher than the industry
-632.47%
Financial Leverage:
Interest coverage ratio is -148.81% less than industry average
Current Ratio:
Return on equity (ROE) is -483.10% lower than the industry
-0.800796224
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
$12.32
-6.860955757
Current ratio is -80.08% below industry average
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
Equity growth rate per share is -180.13% lower than the industry
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
Cash conversion cycle is -686.10% below industry average
0.003690544
EBITDA generated per employee:
Each employee generates 0% more revenue than industry average revenue per employee
-1.862921651
Profit generated per employee:
-$3.94
-1021%
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
Each employee generates -1021% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
-12.41390156
Assets/Capital per employee
Each employee generates -1241% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
-12.41390156
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
Oil & Gas E&P
$27.51
Cognor Holding S.A. (XWAR:COG)
CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORPORATION (XNAS:CHK)
PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS COM UNT (XNYS:PSXP)
WESTERN GAS EQUITY PARTNERS COM UNT (XNYS:WES)
TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORPORATION (XNYS:TPL)
OVINTIV INC. (XNYS:OVV)
PLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE UNT (XNAS:PAA)
MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS UNT (XNYS:MMP)
Current Analyst Ratings
-$8.19
Strong buy�21%
Buy�25%
Hold�29%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Income Statement
Period:
3/31/2022
Date:
Value
Revenue:
TTM
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
5.56B
1.04B
1213%
-
-
220.41M
35.69M
4.26B
5.52B
-
376.81M
1.73B
1334%
- 899872.00K
- 310882.00K
906%
- 899872.00K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
- 1514583.00K
Differed Income Tax :
435.28M
Stock Based Compensation :
- 473557.00K
Change in Working Capital :
7.47M
Accounts Receivables:
132.71M
Other Working Capital:
52.87M
Other Non-Cash Items:
- 38673.00K
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
2.43B
Investments in PP&E:
1.02B
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Value
3/31/2022
2022
Q1
16.91M
-
16.91M
1.21B
-
1.80B
3.03B
18.30B
-
-
-
-
492.79M
18.79B
-
21.81B
1.42B
493.82M
-
-
5.70B
7.61B
4.56B
1.01B
6.00B
-
13.61B
9.92B
- 1725279.00K
- 4548.0K
Value
4.48B
-
8.19B
21.80B
-
5.05B
-
-
- 291172.00K
- 291172.00K
- 3271414.00K
-
- 216491.00K
- 47063.00K
2.71B
- 827097.00K
-
- 97050.00K
16.91M
113.96M
1.02B
- 292281.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-13.97049598
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
Oil & Gas E&P
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
20.37471153
$51.22
$21.96
$23.68
$25.52