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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
Pt Diagnos Laboratorium Utama Tbk (XIDX:DGNS) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Facts
DGNS
Name:
PT DIAGNOS LABORATORIUM UTAMA Tbk (XIDX:DGNS)
Sector:
-
Industry:
Shell Companies
CEO:
Mr. Marc Stad III
Total Employees:
676
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
-
-
ANALYSIS OF ALL CRITICAL FACTORS & RISKS RELATED TO THE STOCK & FUNDAMENTAL/LONG-TERM ANALYSIS OF PT DIAGNOS LABORATORIUM UTAMA TBK(DGNS) AS PER DATA ANALYSIS OF LAST 3 YEARS AND COMPARISON WITH COMPETITORS/PEERS, AND SHELL COMPANIES INDUSTRY. DATE: 07/09/2022
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
286
One Month Price Target:
$285.86
Six Month Price Target :
$285.14
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$284.27
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$282.92
Price Upper limit ($) :
$289.97
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
$254.11
This week:
$214.69
This month :
$143.39
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
357.50B
Market Cap Classification:
Large Cap
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
1.25B
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
25.%
-6.97%
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$433.92
$365.68
$138.08
$206.32
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$343.46
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$328.90
$228.35
$243.10
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
DGNS
Sharpe Ratio:
2.66%
Comparison:
DGNS, is amongst the top 40% stocks with highest risk-adjusted returns
Sharpe ratio is 0.00% lower than the industry
& ratio is 16.64% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Average Returns/Yield of
DGNS
Daily returns:
0.16%
Weekly returns:
0.78%
Monthly returns:
3.10%
Yearly returns:
37.25%
Comparison of returns:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 0.00% below industry average
Classification:
DGNS, is amongst the top 20% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Results of T-Test of Returns:
0.4
Statistical test of Returns:
DGNS has yielded returns statistically similar to the market
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
5.50%
Weekly Volatility:
12.31%
Monthly Volatility:
24.62%
Yearly Volatility:
85.28%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
-
-
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
-11.15%
Weekly VaR:
-24.93%
Monthly VaR:
-49.86%
How Much Can the price of
DGNS
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
-42%
Worst case (decline):
>85%
This translates to price declining to:
$164.98
This translates to price declining to:
$42.90
Severe Crash Probability
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Very high (>70%)
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
DGNS is a 251.94% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 201.51% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
Risk (measured by volatility) is 0.00% below industry average
Overall, it is amongst the top 50% most risky stocks
Beta Examination of
DGNS
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500---0.09
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
-
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
-
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
0.581
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
-0.125
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
-0.154
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
1.073
Beta is -108.37% lower than peers
Average Industry Beta:
-0.09
Beta is 0.00% below industry average
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
-
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.347
Alpha is 0.00% below industry average alpha yield
Alpha is 2210% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
DGNS
Equity cost of capital:
0.025
Equity cost of capital is 0.00% below industry mean WACC
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
-16.41%
Before-tax cost of debt:
-
After-tax cost of debt:
-
Overall debt rating:
-
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
-
-
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
$0.00
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
-6.28
-
EPS:
$40.73
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
0.00%
-
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
-
-
-
Debt per share
-
EBITDA per share
$0.00
Valuation Analysis Today of
DGNS
P/E Ratio:
-
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
12.38
-
-
-
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
2666756.18
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
-6.28
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
-
Dividend Analysis
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
-115.39%
Net debt to equity ratio:
-
Debt to assets ratio:
5.16%
Net debt to assets ratio:
-
Debt-to-asset ratio is 0.00% below industry average
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
-
-
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
0.00%
-
-
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
-0.029
Statistical significance of correlation:
DGNS does not have a has a statistically significant correlation with the market
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
-0.029
Stock price is 0.00% less correlated with the market compared to the industry average correlation
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
-0.029
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
-0.088
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.236
Kurtosis
7.091
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
Skewness of returns:
2.17
Returns are right (positive) skewed; mean returns are greater than median and mode returns
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
DGNS
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
53%
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
-3089.93%
Operating profit margin is 0.35% higher than the industry
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
53%
Effective Tax Rate:
-0.05%
-
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
-3.14%
-
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
-1.49%
-
Financial Leverage:
1.1x
Current Ratio:
0.4
Current ratio is 0.00% below industry average
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
211.7
Cash conversion cycle is 1487.53% above industry average
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 20.5 years
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
0.2K
Each employee generates 0% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
EBITDA generated per employee:
- 6.1K
Each employee generates 0% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Profit generated per employee:
- 6.1K
Each employee generates 0% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
-
-
Assets/Capital per employee
-
-
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
DGNS
SVB FINANCIAL GROUP (XNAS:SIVBP)
CIVISTA BANCSHARES, INC. (XNAS:CIVB)
GAINM
COVA Acquisition Corp. (XNAS:COVA)
AMERICA FIRST MULTIFMLY INVSTRS UNT (XNAS:ATAX)
FTIV
GAINL
EZCORP, INC. (XNAS:EZPW)
SmartFinancial, Inc. (XNAS:SMBK)
Current Analyst Ratings
Strong buy�0%
Buy�0%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Overall analyst sentiment is: -
Income Statement
Period:
TTM
Date:
9/30/21
Revenue:
134.06K
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
63.39K
70.67K
25.69K
4.14M
4.08M
37.16K
- 62.85K
4.04M
8.78K
-
-
- 4134.66K
- 4142.30K
- 4127.85K
- 4127.85K
1.97K
- 4127.85K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
-
Differed Income Tax :
-
Stock Based Compensation :
-
Change in Working Capital :
-
Accounts Receivables:
-
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
-
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
-
Investments in PP&E:
-
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
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2.04M
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
-
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
DGNS
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
$285.69
$283.97
$282.25
$280.55
$278.86