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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
Interface, Inc. (XNAS:TILE) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Facts
TILE
Name:
INTERFACE, INC. (XNAS:TILE)
Sector:
- 22477.00K
Industry:
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
CEO:
Mr. Daniel Hendrix
Total Employees:
3,646
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
D
Technological advancement compared to industry is -201.11% lower
ANALYSIS OF ALL CRITICAL FACTORS & RISKS RELATED TO THE STOCK & FUNDAMENTAL/LONG-TERM ANALYSIS OF INTERFACE, INC.(TILE) AS PER DATA ANALYSIS OF LAST 3 YEARS AND COMPARISON WITH COMPETITORS/PEERS, AND FURNISHINGS, FIXTURES & APPLIANCES INDUSTRY. DATE: 07/09/2022
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
10.81
One Month Price Target:
$10.92
Six Month Price Target :
$11.47
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$12.13
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$10.74
Price Upper limit ($) :
$10.88
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
$9.96
This week:
$8.9
This month :
$6.99
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
617.59M
Market Cap Classification:
Small Cap
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
58.76M
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
16.79%
-34.62%
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$14.78
$12.97
$6.84
$8.65
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$12.38
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$12.00
$9.23
$9.62
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
TILE
Sharpe Ratio:
0.06%
Comparison:
TILE, is amongst the top 40% stocks with lowest risk-adjusted returns
Sharpe ratio is -94.49% lower than the industry
& is -97.31% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Average Returns/Yield of
TILE
Daily returns:
0.01%
Weekly returns:
0.06%
Monthly returns:
0.22%
Yearly returns:
14.35%
Comparison of returns:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -81.26% below industry average
Classification:
TILE, is amongst the top 40% lowest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Results of T-Test of Returns:
0.12
Statistical test of Returns:
TILE has yielded returns statistically similar to the market
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
3.85%
Weekly Volatility:
8.61%
Monthly Volatility:
17.23%
Yearly Volatility:
59.68%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
0.43%
Volatility in last five trading days has been -88.82% below long-term volatility
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
-7.90%
Weekly VaR:
-17.66%
Monthly VaR:
-35.33%
How Much Can the price of
TILE
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
-31%
Worst case (decline):
>85%
This translates to price declining to:
$7.45
This translates to price declining to:
$1.62
Severe Crash Probability
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Low (<25%)
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
TILE is a 149.36% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 113.62% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
Risk (measured by volatility) is -2.45% below industry average
Overall, it is amongst the top 50% most risky stocks
Beta Examination of
TILE
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--1.81
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
1.148
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
1.624
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
0.837
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
0.727
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
1.086
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
1.844
Beta is -1.82% lower than peers
Average Industry Beta:
1.707
Beta is 6.08% above industry average
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
15.43%
Sustainable growth rate is -53.89% below industry average
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
-0.129
Alpha is 2510.55% above industry average alpha yield
Alpha is -819% below the market average
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
TILE
Equity cost of capital:
0.156
Equity cost of capital is 4.79% above industry mean WACC
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
7.19%
Before-tax cost of debt:
4.77%
After-tax cost of debt:
3.77%
Overall debt rating:
Lower BB medium grade (Fifth highest grade)
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
3.77%
WACC is 11.81% above industry mean WACC
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
$21.02
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
1.73
Annual revenue growth rate is -64.84% below industry average
EPS:
$1.04
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
-11.15%
Expected future EPS growth rate is -191.69% lower than the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
$0.28
Balance sheet equity growth per share: -61.95%
Equity growth rate per share is 3460.65% higher than the industry
Debt per share
$9.93
EBITDA per share
$2.79
Valuation Analysis Today of
TILE
P/E Ratio:
10.25
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
16.88
P/E ratio is -39.28% lower than main peers & is -36.63% lower than the industry
Stock price/value with industry average P/E ratio: $16.82
TILE is -35.73% undervalued if valued using industry average P/E ratio
Share value as per dividend discount (DDM) model: $5.50
Present value of the expected future dividends only: $0.15
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
0.51
Price to sales ratio is -43.88% below the industry mean
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
1.73
Price to free cash flow: 39.28
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
-243.05%
Net income growth rate is 221.71% higher than the average industry net income growth rate
Dividend Analysis
-
Dividend yeild: 0.37%
Previous Dividend: $0.01
Previous adjusted dividend: $0.01
Previous Dividend: $0.04
Expected next dividend best case: $0.03
Expected next dividend worst case: -$0.01
Average dividend payment (long-term): $0.02
Average dividend increase/decrease (growth rate) % per period: -8.46%
Expected next dividend payment date: 15/09/2022
Expected next dividend record date: 09/01/2022
-
Previous dividend payment date: 17/06/2022
Previous dividend record date: 06/03/2022
-
Dividend History:
2022-06-02--$0.01
2021-12-02--$0.01
2021-06-03--$0.01
2022-03-31--$0.01
2021-09-02--$0.01
2021-03-31--$0.01
Dividend growth rate is -36.43% lower than the industry average
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
158.99%
Net debt to equity ratio:
146.61%
Debt to assets ratio:
44.53%
Net debt to assets ratio:
41.07%
Debt-to-asset ratio is -40.05% below industry average
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
5.6
Interest coverage ratio is -93.82% less than industry average
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
-3.86%
Annual debt growth is -102% lower than industry average debt growth rate
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 7.19%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
0.465
Statistical significance of correlation:
TILE has a statistically significant correlation with the market
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.556
Stock price is -16.46% less correlated with the market compared to the industry average correlation
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.556
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
0.034
Covariance of price movement with the market:
0.075
Kurtosis
14.097
Returns have severe fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are considerably more likely, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
Skewness of returns:
-1.344
Returns are left (negative) skewed; mean returns are lower than median and mode returns
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
TILE
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
144%
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
9.34%
Operating profit margin is 26.26% higher than the industry
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
144%
Effective Tax Rate:
26.80%
Effective tax rate is 45.16% higher than the industry
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
16.79%
Return on equity (ROE) is -42.76% lower than the industry
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
4.70%
Return on assets (ROA) is -47.52% lower than the industry
Financial Leverage:
1.8x
Current Ratio:
2.37
Current ratio is 52.71% above industry average
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
42.4
Cash conversion cycle is -24.37% below industry average
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 40.4 years
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
3.54%
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
338.8K
Each employee generates -23% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
EBITDA generated per employee:
45.0K
Each employee generates 19% more EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Profit generated per employee:
16.9K
Each employee generates -20% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
- 6.2K
Each employee generates -53% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Assets/Capital per employee
199.1K
Each employee generates -53% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
TILE
HIBBETT, INC. (XNAS:HIBB)
FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP, INC. (XNAS:FWRG)
LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDINGS, INC. (XNAS:LIND)
ONESPAWORLD HOLDINGS Ltd (XNAS:OSW)
RCI HOSPITALITY HOLDINGS, INC. (XNAS:RICK)
CLARUS CORPORATION (XNAS:CLAR)
THE LOVESAC COMPANY (XNAS:LOVE)
Winmark Corporation (XNAS:WINA)
BLINK CHARGING CO. (XNAS:BLNK)
Current Analyst Ratings
Strong buy�4%
Buy�13%
Hold�13%
Sell�4%
Strong sell�0%
Overall analyst sentiment is: Buy
Income Statement
Period:
TTM
Date:
4/3/22
Revenue:
1.24B
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
791.65M
443.49M
-
-
323.51M
-
-
323.51M
-
29.28M
50.64M
164.05M
115.35M
61.59M
84.14M
22.55M
61.59M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
12.01M
Differed Income Tax :
4.20M
Stock Based Compensation :
2.18M
Change in Working Capital :
- 49379.00K
Accounts Receivables:
26.14M
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
-
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
- 17696.00K
Investments in PP&E:
-
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
4/3/22
2022
Q1
76.09M
-
76.09M
144.99M
319.37M
43.33M
583.78M
406.10M
139.81M
72.63M
-
23.10M
84.37M
726.01M
-
1.31B
86.98M
30.65M
-
-
128.24M
245.87M
583.31M
78.14M
697.04M
-
942.91M
5.93M
274.14M
- 168055.0K
254.87M
April 3, 2022 at 6:00:00 AM
1.12B
366.88M
1.31B
-
613.96M
537.9M
-
- 4781.00K
- 4781.00K
- 45208.00K
-
-
-
48.10M
2.89M
- 1581.00K
- 21164.00K
76.09M
97.25M
- 17696.00K
- 4781.00K
- 22477.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
D
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
TILE
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
$13.85
$15.53
$17.42
$19.54
$21.92