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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
Cryoport, Inc. (XNAS:CYRX) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Facts
CYRX
Name:
CRYOPORT, INC. (XNAS:CYRX)
Sector:
- 4072.00K
Industry:
Integrated Freight & Logistics
CEO:
Mr. Jerrell Shelton
Total Employees:
791
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
D
Technological advancement compared to industry is -158.80% lower
ANALYSIS OF ALL CRITICAL FACTORS & RISKS RELATED TO THE STOCK & FUNDAMENTAL/LONG-TERM ANALYSIS OF CRYOPORT, INC.(CYRX) AS PER DATA ANALYSIS OF LAST 3 YEARS AND COMPARISON WITH COMPETITORS/PEERS, AND INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS INDUSTRY. DATE: 07/09/2022
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
30.96
One Month Price Target:
$31.16
Six Month Price Target :
$32.16
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$33.36
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$30.79
Price Upper limit ($) :
$31.25
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
$28.23
This week:
$24.86
This month :
$18.77
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
1.50B
Market Cap Classification:
Small Cap
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
48.49M
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
27.94%
-20.41%
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$43.60
$37.71
$18.32
$24.21
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$35.79
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$34.53
$26.11
$27.39
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
CYRX
Sharpe Ratio:
4.53%
Comparison:
CYRX, is amongst the top 20% stocks with highest risk-adjusted returns
Sharpe ratio is 44.39% higher than the industry
& ratio is 98.61% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Average Returns/Yield of
CYRX
Daily returns:
0.21%
Weekly returns:
1.04%
Monthly returns:
4.15%
Yearly returns:
21.22%
Comparison of returns:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 134.75% above industry average
Classification:
CYRX, is amongst the top 20% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Results of T-Test of Returns:
0.1
Statistical test of Returns:
CYRX has yielded returns statistically similar to the market
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
4.39%
Weekly Volatility:
9.81%
Monthly Volatility:
19.63%
Yearly Volatility:
67.99%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
3.38%
Volatility in last five trading days has been -22.96% below long-term volatility
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
-8.81%
Weekly VaR:
-19.69%
Monthly VaR:
-39.38%
How Much Can the price of
CYRX
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
-32%
Worst case (decline):
>85%
This translates to price declining to:
$20.92
This translates to price declining to:
$4.64
Severe Crash Probability
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Very high (>70%)
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
CYRX is a 177.95% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 138.12% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
Risk (measured by volatility) is 74.76% above industry average
Overall, it is amongst the top 50% most risky stocks
Beta Examination of
CYRX
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--1.16
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.817
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
1.155
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
0.682
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
1.216
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
0.734
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
1.083
Beta is 6.77% higher than peers
Average Industry Beta:
1.068
Beta is 8.27% above industry average
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
-
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.387
Alpha is 260.24% above industry average alpha yield
Alpha is 2466% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
CYRX
Equity cost of capital:
0.111
Equity cost of capital is 5.78% above industry mean WACC
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
6.53%
Before-tax cost of debt:
1.17%
After-tax cost of debt:
0.92%
Overall debt rating:
Highest AAA investment grade
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
0.92%
WACC is -9.79% below industry mean WACC
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
$4.57
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
2.46
Annual revenue growth rate is 521.57% above the industry average
EPS:
-$6.11
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
123.98%
Expected future EPS growth rate is 225.78% higher than the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
-
-
-
Debt per share
$8.69
EBITDA per share
-$5.33
Valuation Analysis Today of
CYRX
P/E Ratio:
-
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
25.39
-
-
CYRX is -131.59% undervalued if valued using industry average P/E ratio
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
6.77
Price to sales ratio is 326.68% above the industry mean
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
2.46
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
1663.07%
Net income growth rate is 667.99% higher than the average industry net income growth rate
Dividend Analysis
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
69.14%
Net debt to equity ratio:
47.64%
Debt to assets ratio:
38.97%
Net debt to assets ratio:
26.85%
Debt-to-asset ratio is -79.75% below industry average
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
-52.05
Interest coverage ratio is -242.45% less than industry average
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
260.24%
Annual debt growth is 443% higher than industry average debt growth rate
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.00%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
0.42
Statistical significance of correlation:
CYRX has a statistically significant correlation with the market
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.551
Stock price is -23.81% less correlated with the market compared to the industry average correlation
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.551
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
-0.068
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.173
Kurtosis
3.413
Returns are, approximately, normally distributed (mesokurtic)
Skewness of returns:
0.374
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
CYRX
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
170%
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
-11.06%
Operating profit margin is -325.67% lower than the industry
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
170%
Effective Tax Rate:
-0.35%
Effective tax rate is -101.49% lower than the industry
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
-46.83%
Return on equity (ROE) is -245.19% lower than the industry
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
-26.39%
Return on assets (ROA) is 288.26% higher than the industry
Financial Leverage:
1.6x
Current Ratio:
14.98
Current ratio is 618.91% above industry average
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
76.4
Cash conversion cycle is -86.67% below industry average
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 4.9 years
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-1.45%
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
280.2K
Each employee generates -72% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
EBITDA generated per employee:
- 327.0K
Each employee generates -588% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Profit generated per employee:
- 360.8K
Each employee generates -1436% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
- 5.1K
Each employee generates -147% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Assets/Capital per employee
525.4K
Each employee generates -147% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
Research & development (R&D) investment growth rate-- 77.59%
Growth rate in R&D investment/expenditure is 1131.48% higher than the industry
Competitors/Peer firms of
CYRX
FORWARD AIR CORPORATION (XNAS:FWRD)
GIBRALTAR INDUSTRIES, INC. (XNAS:ROCK)
AEROVIRONMENT, INC. (XNAS:AVAV)
MLHR
HUB GROUP, INC. (XNAS:HUBG)
SKYWEST, INC. (XNAS:SKYW)
WERNER ENTERPRISES, INC. (XNAS:WERN)
HELIOS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (XNYS:HLIO)
Central North Airport Group (XNAS:OMAB)
Current Analyst Ratings
Strong buy�4%
Buy�13%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Overall analyst sentiment is: Buy
Income Statement
Period:
TTM
Date:
3/31/22
Revenue:
221.63M
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
127.26M
94.37M
16.08M
-
102.80M
-
-
118.88M
-
4.97M
20.78M
- 258672.00K
- 24506.00K
- 285405.00K
- 284417.00K
988.00K
- 285405.00K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
5.37M
Differed Income Tax :
-
Stock Based Compensation :
4.13M
Change in Working Capital :
- 4285.00K
Accounts Receivables:
3.34M
Other Working Capital:
2.18M
Other Non-Cash Items:
8.72M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
524.00K
Investments in PP&E:
- 4245.00K
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
- 30354.00K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
3/31/22
2022
Q1
134.45M
465.06M
599.51M
35.84M
22.06M
8.36M
665.77M
68.68M
146.59M
197.61M
-
1.73M
944.00K
415.56M
-
1.08B
-
3.47M
-
517.00K
40.46M
44.44M
421.35M
1.11M
427.46M
-
471.90M
50.00K
- 489294.00K
- 16322.0K
1.10B
March 31, 2022 at 6:00:00 AM
246.13M
609.43M
1.08B
-
424.81M
290.4M
36.00M
1.65M
3.05M
- 13.00K
-
- 8349.00K
-
313.00K
- 8049.00K
- 178.00K
- 4653.00K
134.45M
139.10M
524.00K
- 4596.00K
- 4072.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
D
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
CYRX
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
$33.46
$36.06
$38.87
$41.88
$45.14