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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
Boston Omaha Corporation (XNYS:BOC) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Facts
BOMN
Name:
BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION (XNYS:BOC)
Sector:
- 13237.39K
Industry:
Advertising Agencies
CEO:
Mr. Adam Peterson
Total Employees:
256
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
D
Technological advancement compared to industry is -511.09% lower
ANALYSIS OF ALL CRITICAL FACTORS & RISKS RELATED TO THE STOCK & FUNDAMENTAL/LONG-TERM ANALYSIS OF BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION(BOC) AS PER DATA ANALYSIS OF LAST 3 YEARS AND COMPARISON WITH COMPETITORS/PEERS, AND ADVERTISING AGENCIES INDUSTRY. DATE: 07/09/2022
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
26.07
One Month Price Target:
$26.15
Six Month Price Target :
$26.53
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$26.98
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$25.95
Price Upper limit ($) :
$26.23
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
$24.37
This week:
$22.28
This month :
$18.48
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
754.93M
Market Cap Classification:
Small Cap
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
29.70M
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
17.16%
-15.46%
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$33.94
$30.31
$18.20
$21.83
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$29.13
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$28.36
$23.00
$23.78
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
BOMN
Sharpe Ratio:
2.32%
Comparison:
BOMN, is amongst the top 40% stocks with highest risk-adjusted returns
Sharpe ratio is 22.93% higher than the industry
& ratio is 1.98% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Average Returns/Yield of
BOMN
Daily returns:
0.08%
Weekly returns:
0.42%
Monthly returns:
1.67%
Yearly returns:
23.80%
Comparison of returns:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -15.85% below industry average
Classification:
BOMN, is amongst the top 40% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Results of T-Test of Returns:
0.79
Statistical test of Returns:
BOMN has not yielded statistically significant higher returns when compared to the market
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
3.21%
Weekly Volatility:
7.18%
Monthly Volatility:
14.35%
Yearly Volatility:
49.72%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
1.10%
Volatility in last five trading days has been -65.76% below long-term volatility
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
-6.51%
Weekly VaR:
-14.55%
Monthly VaR:
-29.11%
How Much Can the price of
BOMN
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
-25%
Worst case (decline):
>85%
This translates to price declining to:
$19.61
This translates to price declining to:
$3.91
Severe Crash Probability
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: High (50-70%)
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
BOMN is a 105.43% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 75.99% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
Risk (measured by volatility) is -17.42% below industry average
Overall, it is amongst the top 50% most risky stocks
Beta Examination of
BOMN
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--0.52
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
0.798
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
1.129
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
0.46
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
0.887
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
0.653
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
27.244
Beta is -98.09% lower than peers
Average Industry Beta:
1.076
Beta is -51.66% below industry average
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
17.90%
Sustainable growth rate is -249.24% below industry average
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
0.133
Alpha is 0.26% above industry average alpha yield
Alpha is 848% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
BOMN
Equity cost of capital:
0.067
Equity cost of capital is -36.19% below industry mean WACC
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
5.94%
Before-tax cost of debt:
1.06%
After-tax cost of debt:
0.83%
Overall debt rating:
Highest AAA investment grade
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
0.83%
WACC is -27.81% below industry mean WACC
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
$1.92
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
1.21
-
EPS:
-
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
0.00%
-
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
-
-
-
Debt per share
$2.85
EBITDA per share
$2.90
Valuation Analysis Today of
BOMN
P/E Ratio:
10.04
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
32.02
P/E ratio is -68.65% lower than main peers & is -90.30% lower than the industry
-
-
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
13.59
Price to sales ratio is 286.54% above the industry mean
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
1.21
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
-
Dividend Analysis
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
17.03%
Net debt to equity ratio:
3.65%
Debt to assets ratio:
10.48%
Net debt to assets ratio:
2.24%
Debt-to-asset ratio is -82.20% below industry average
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
90.05
Interest coverage ratio is 9949.67% more than industry average
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
0.00%
-
Debt repayment rate in previous year: 1.38%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
0.495
Statistical significance of correlation:
BOMN has a statistically significant correlation with the market
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.498
Stock price is -0.71% less correlated with the market compared to the industry average correlation
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.498
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
-0.005
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.009
Kurtosis
3.645
Returns have moderate fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
Skewness of returns:
0.375
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
BOMN
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
269%
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
-41.61%
Operating profit margin is -347.67% lower than the industry
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
269%
Effective Tax Rate:
24.18%
Effective tax rate is -48.66% lower than the industry
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
10.63%
Return on equity (ROE) is -224.92% lower than the industry
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
6.54%
Return on assets (ROA) is -100.93% lower than the industry
Financial Leverage:
1.1x
Current Ratio:
7.23
Current ratio is 175.34% above industry average
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
-102.2
Cash conversion cycle is -170.80% below industry average
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 12.9 years
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
222.5K
Each employee generates -37% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
EBITDA generated per employee:
336.3K
Each employee generates 307% more EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Profit generated per employee:
206.0K
Each employee generates 494% more net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
- 51.7K
Each employee generates 422% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Assets/Capital per employee
1.6M
Each employee generates 422% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
BOMN
SCR
ANTERIX INC. (XNAS:ATEX)
PARTNER COMMUNICATIONS COMPANY LTD. (XNAS:PTNR)
THRYV HOLDINGS, INC. (XNAS:THRY)
ATN INTERNATIONAL, INC. (XNAS:ATNI)
ORBCOMM INC. (XLON:0A7Z)
EVERQUOTE, INC. (XNAS:EVER)
FT:Gold Strat Target Inc (BATS:IGLD)
Enthusiast Gaming Holdings Inc (XNAS:EGLX)
Current Analyst Ratings
Strong buy�0%
Buy�0%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Overall analyst sentiment is: -
Income Statement
Period:
TTM
Date:
12/31/21
Revenue:
56.97M
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
18.59M
38.38M
-
51.65M
51.65M
-
10.26M
61.91M
676.62K
956.05K
14.69M
86.09M
- 23707.86K
52.75M
73.17M
17.69M
52.75M
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
14.69M
Differed Income Tax :
17.69M
Stock Based Compensation :
-
Change in Working Capital :
14.32M
Accounts Receivables:
- 63.09K
Other Working Capital:
1.13M
Other Non-Cash Items:
- 91682.38K
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
7.77M
Investments in PP&E:
-
Net Acquisitions:
- 96760.59K
Purchases of Investments:
- 1647677.19K
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
12/31/21
2021
FY
72.51M
162.89M
235.40M
4.50M
-
150.81M
390.71M
137.71M
151.34M
45.35M
80.98M
-
969.25K
416.34M
-
807.05M
25.27M
6.07M
-
7.12M
15.56M
54.03M
84.54M
10.14M
112.43M
-
166.46M
29.70K
12.44M
-
483.86M
December 31, 2021 at 12:00:00 AM
80.50M
496.33M
662.78M
243.87M
90.61M
18.1M
1.70B
- 1005.63K
- 45670.81K
- 1183.05K
62.85M
-
-
2.98M
64.64M
-
26.74M
81.69M
54.95M
7.77M
- 21005.63K
- 13237.39K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
D
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
BOMN
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
$20.24
$20.94
$21.67
$22.43
$23.21