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RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
Blink Charging Co. (XNAS:BLNK) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Facts
BLNK
Name:
BLINK CHARGING CO. (XNAS:BLNK)
Sector:
- 12751.00K
Industry:
Engineering & Construction
CEO:
Mr. Michael Farkas
Total Employees:
191
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
A
Technological advancement compared to industry is 83.37% higher
ANALYSIS OF ALL CRITICAL FACTORS & RISKS RELATED TO THE STOCK & FUNDAMENTAL/LONG-TERM ANALYSIS OF BLINK CHARGING CO.(BLNK) AS PER DATA ANALYSIS OF LAST 3 YEARS AND COMPARISON WITH COMPETITORS/PEERS, AND ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY. DATE: 07/09/2022
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
19.55
One Month Price Target:
$19.94
Six Month Price Target :
$21.91
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$24.26
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$19.41
Price Upper limit ($) :
$19.91
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
$16.64
This week:
$13.05
This month :
$6.55
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
987.43M
Market Cap Classification:
Small Cap
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
50.85M
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
59.09%
-18.63%
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$33.01
$26.63
$6.09
$12.47
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$24.56
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$23.20
$14.53
$15.90
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
BLNK
Sharpe Ratio:
7.63%
Comparison:
BLNK, is amongst the top 20% stocks with highest risk-adjusted returns
Sharpe ratio is 92.04% higher than the industry
& ratio is 234.68% higher than the market/S&P 500 average
Average Returns/Yield of
BLNK
Daily returns:
0.58%
Weekly returns:
2.91%
Monthly returns:
11.66%
Yearly returns:
37.49%
Comparison of returns:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is 273.16% above industry average
Classification:
BLNK, is amongst the top 20% highest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Results of T-Test of Returns:
0.1
Statistical test of Returns:
BLNK has yielded returns statistically similar to the market
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
7.52%
Weekly Volatility:
16.83%
Monthly Volatility:
33.65%
Yearly Volatility:
116.57%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
3.41%
Volatility in last five trading days has been -54.70% below long-term volatility
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
-14.87%
Weekly VaR:
-33.25%
Monthly VaR:
-66.51%
How Much Can the price of
BLNK
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
-52%
Worst case (decline):
>85%
This translates to price declining to:
$9.36
This translates to price declining to:
$2.93
Severe Crash Probability
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Very high (>70%)
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
BLNK is a 369.40% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 302.13% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
Risk (measured by volatility) is 121.02% above industry average
Overall, it is amongst the top 50% most risky stocks
Beta Examination of
BLNK
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--3.59
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
1.921
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
2.717
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
-
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
1.622
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
0.794
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
1.749
Beta is 105.09% higher than peers
Average Industry Beta:
1.325
Beta is 170.61% above industry average
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
-
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
1.122
Alpha is 344.07% above industry average alpha yield
Alpha is 7141% higher than market/& is unsustainably high
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
BLNK
Equity cost of capital:
0.277
Equity cost of capital is 126.66% above industry mean WACC
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
-
Before-tax cost of debt:
-
After-tax cost of debt:
-
Overall debt rating:
-
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
-
-
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
$0.56
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
4.97
Annual revenue growth rate is 459.15% above the industry average
EPS:
-$1.49
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
52.80%
Expected future EPS growth rate is 311.40% higher than the Engineering & Construction industry
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
-
-
-
Debt per share
$0.02
EBITDA per share
-$1.19
Valuation Analysis Today of
BLNK
P/E Ratio:
3.04
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
104.57
P/E ratio is -97.10% lower than main peers & is -89.53% lower than the industry
-
BLNK is -145.24% undervalued if valued using industry average P/E ratio
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
34.87
Price to sales ratio is 465.37% above the industry mean
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
4.97
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
694.58%
Net income growth rate is -9732.92% lower than the industry average net income growth rate
Dividend Analysis
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
0.56%
Net debt to equity ratio:
-79.95%
Debt to assets ratio:
0.51%
Net debt to assets ratio:
-72.30%
Debt-to-asset ratio is -99.04% below industry average
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
-
-
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
0.00%
-
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.00%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
0.326
Statistical significance of correlation:
BLNK has a statistically significant correlation with the market
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.523
Stock price is -37.71% less correlated with the market compared to the industry average correlation
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.523
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
-0.058
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.254
Kurtosis
10.226
Returns have a significant fat-tails (leptokurtic), i.e., returns considerably higher or lower than the mean returns are more probable, compared to assets with normally distributed returns
Skewness of returns:
2.02
Returns are right (positive) skewed; mean returns are greater than median and mode returns
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
BLNK
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
62%
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
-222.13%
Operating profit margin is 1514.43% higher than the industry
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
62%
Effective Tax Rate:
-
-
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
-31.43%
Return on equity (ROE) is -367.72% lower than the industry
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
-28.43%
Return on assets (ROA) is -790.62% lower than the industry
Financial Leverage:
1.0x
Current Ratio:
9.65
Current ratio is 242.93% above industry average
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
-39.1
Cash conversion cycle is -182.75% below industry average
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 9.9 years
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
149.3K
Each employee generates -75% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
EBITDA generated per employee:
- 317.7K
Each employee generates -948% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Profit generated per employee:
- 329.3K
Each employee generates 50351% more net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
- 66.8K
Each employee generates 937% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Assets/Capital per employee
215.6K
Each employee generates 937% more free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
-
-
Competitors/Peer firms of
BLNK
MONARCH CASINO & RESORT, INC. (XNAS:MCRI)
BJ'S RESTAURANTS, INC. (XNAS:BJRI)
HIBBETT, INC. (XNAS:HIBB)
GREEN BRICK PARTNERS, INC. (XNYS:GRBK)
JOHNSON OUTDOORS INC. (XNAS:JOUT)
Franchise Group, Inc. (XNAS:FRG)
FUNKO, INC. (XNAS:FNKO)
Playa Hotels & Resorts NV (XNAS:PLYA)
WORKHORSE GROUP INC. (XNAS:WKHS)
Current Analyst Ratings
Strong buy�0%
Buy�4%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Overall analyst sentiment is: Buy
Income Statement
Period:
TTM
Date:
3/31/22
Revenue:
28.51M
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
24.01M
4.50M
-
56.33M
56.33M
-
11.49M
67.82M
9.00K
-
2.22M
- 60679.23K
- 63323.27K
- 62896.61K
- 62896.61K
-
- 62896.61K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
758.00K
Differed Income Tax :
-
Stock Based Compensation :
-
Change in Working Capital :
3.00M
Accounts Receivables:
- 1722.00K
Other Working Capital:
-
Other Non-Cash Items:
-
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
- 11383.00K
Investments in PP&E:
- 1368.00K
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
3/31/22
2022
Q1
161.98M
-
161.98M
7.47M
10.05M
576.00K
180.08M
17.83M
19.05M
3.71M
-
-
596.00K
41.18M
-
221.27M
8.13M
894.00K
-
2.74M
6.91M
18.67M
1.13M
727.00K
2.51M
-
21.18M
43.00K
- 257613.00K
- 2390.0K
460.05M
March 31, 2022 at 6:00:00 AM
91.83M
200.09M
221.27M
-
2.02M
- 159965.0K
-
-
- 1368.00K
-
-
-
-
- 77.00K
- 77.00K
- 158.00K
- 12813.00K
162.06M
174.88M
- 11383.00K
- 1368.00K
- 12751.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
A+
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
BLNK
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
$24.34
$30.20
$37.48
$46.51
$57.72