_edited.png)
RISK CONCERN
Investment Strategy, Risk Analysis, and Insights by Chartered Professionals
Angi Inc. (XNAS:ANGI) In-Depth Stock/Fundamental/Options Analysis Today
Primary Facts
ANGI
Name:
ANGI INC. (XNAS:ANGI)
Sector:
- 27638.00K
Industry:
Internet Content & Information
CEO:
Mr. William Ridenour
Total Employees:
5,200
Our Technological Advancement Rating
Our Rating:
D
Technological advancement compared to industry is -182.47% lower
ANALYSIS OF ALL CRITICAL FACTORS & RISKS RELATED TO THE STOCK & FUNDAMENTAL/LONG-TERM ANALYSIS OF ANGI INC.(ANGI) AS PER DATA ANALYSIS OF LAST 3 YEARS AND COMPARISON WITH COMPETITORS/PEERS, AND INTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION INDUSTRY. DATE: 07/09/2022
Primary Targets/Price Insights
Previous Close ($) :
3.9
One Month Price Target:
$3.94
Six Month Price Target :
$4.14
Likely Price in One Year's Time:
Ticker:
$4.37
Likely Trading Range Today Under (Normal Volatility)
$3.87
Price Upper limit ($) :
$3.93
Price Lower limit ($) :
Crash Risk Prep/Key Price Levels (High Volatility/Risk)
Price, as per data analysis, isn't likely to fall below:
Today:
$3.54
This week:
$3.09
This month :
$2.28
Other Primary facts
Market Cap:
1.90B
Market Cap Classification:
Small Cap
Number of Shares
IPO Date:
503.29M
Best/Worst Daily Performance (Last 3+ Years)
Highest Daily Appreciation:
22.28%
-23.5%
Worst Daily Decline:
Our Options Trading Entry Points
Iron Condor entry points for options expiring in 1 week's time
Low risk (<2%) entry points
Buy Call:
Sell Call:
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$5.58
$4.82
$2.22
$2.98
Medium risk (<10%) entry points
Buy Call
Sell Call
$4.57
Buy Put:
Sell Put:
$4.40
$3.23
$3.40
These entry points can be used for other strategies, such as butterflies, straddles, etc.
Risk-Adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) of
ANGI
Sharpe Ratio:
-0.23%
Comparison:
ANGI, is amongst the top 40% stocks with lowest risk-adjusted returns
Sharpe ratio is -845.11% lower than the industry
& is -110.22% lower than the market/S&P 500 average
Average Returns/Yield of
ANGI
Daily returns:
0.00%
Weekly returns:
-0.01%
Monthly returns:
-0.03%
Yearly returns:
0.13%
Comparison of returns:
Average annual returns/yield (last 3 years) is -397.71% below industry average
Classification:
ANGI, is amongst the top 40% lowest yielding stocks in terms of daily returns
Results of T-Test of Returns:
0.99
Statistical test of Returns:
ANGI has yielded returns statistically similar to the market
Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Daily Volatility:
4.51%
Weekly Volatility:
10.09%
Monthly Volatility:
20.18%
Yearly Volatility:
69.90%
Volitlilty of last five days (Measured by Standard Deviation)
Average Volatility of this Week:
3.34%
Volatility in last five trading days has been -25.97% below long-term volatility
Value at Risk Analysis (VaR)
Daily VaR:
-9.27%
Weekly VaR:
-20.72%
Monthly VaR:
-41.45%
How Much Can the price of
ANGI
Decline in a Recession?
Likely price decline in a recession:
Base case (decline):
-37%
Worst case (decline):
>85%
This translates to price declining to:
$2.47
This translates to price declining to:
$0.59
Severe Crash Probability
Risk of crash in next 6/12 months: Low (<25%)
What is Value at Risk (VaR)?
Risk Fundamentals
ANGI is a 192.55% riskier investment compared to the market/S&P 500 & is 150.62% riskier than Nasdaq (IXIC)
Risk (measured by volatility) is 10.17% above industry average
Overall, it is amongst the top 50% most risky stocks
Beta Examination of
ANGI
Beta in relation to market/S&P 500--1.81
Expected beta in 1 year's time:
1.177
Expected beta in 3 year's time:
1.664
Unlevered (debt free) Beta:
1.338
Beta in relation to Nasdaq (XNAS):
1.18
Beta in relation to all global stocks::
0.584
Beta Comparison & Analysis
Beta of competitors/peers::
1.122
Beta is 61.30% higher than peers
Average Industry Beta:
1.399
Beta is 29.40% above industry average
Sustainable Growth Rate Analysis
Sustainable growth rate for this stock/firm:
-
-
Alpha provided | Alpha Analysis
Alpha provided:
-0.159
Alpha is 26.60% above industry average alpha yield
Alpha is -1015% below the market average
Analysis of Cost of Capital of
ANGI
Equity cost of capital:
0.155
Equity cost of capital is 22.12% above industry mean WACC
Unlevered (without debt) cost of capital:
11.50%
Before-tax cost of debt:
4.42%
After-tax cost of debt:
3.50%
Overall debt rating:
Lower BB medium grade (Fifth highest grade)
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
3.50%
WACC is 19.94% above industry mean WACC
Key Per-Share Metrics & Analysis
Revenue per share:
$3.45
Revenue growth rate per share of (3Y):
1.76
Annual revenue growth rate is -91.43% below industry average
EPS:
-$0.21
Expected Annual growth rate of EPS (3Y):
0.00%
-
Free cash flow (FCF) per share:
-
-
-
Debt per share
$0.98
EBITDA per share
-$0.08
Valuation Analysis Today of
ANGI
P/E Ratio:
1294.8
P/E Ratio of Competitors/Peers:
33.05
P/E ratio is 3817.13% higher than main peers & is 3314.10% higher than the industry
-
ANGI is -148.97% undervalued if valued using industry average P/E ratio
-
-
P/S (Price to Sales ratio):
1.13
Price to sales ratio is -77.84% below the industry mean
P/B (Price to book value ratio):
1.76
-
-
Net income growth rate (3Y):
-171.00%
Net income growth rate is 116.20% higher than the average industry net income growth rate
Dividend Analysis
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dividend History:
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
--$0.00
-
In-depth Debt & Leverage Analysis
Debt to equity ratio:
44.84%
Net debt to equity ratio:
9.38%
Debt to assets ratio:
24.68%
Net debt to assets ratio:
5.16%
Debt-to-asset ratio is -43.46% below industry average
Ability to repay debt:
Interest coverage ratio:
-1.88
Interest coverage ratio is -115.56% less than industry average
Looking forward:
Debt growth rate:
-32.06%
Annual debt growth is -108% lower than industry average debt growth rate
Debt repayment rate in last quarter: 0.00%
Analysis of Key Statistics
Correlation of price movement with the market:
0.397
Statistical significance of correlation:
ANGI has a statistically significant correlation with the market
Average Correlation of the industry with the market:
0.473
Stock price is -16.24% less correlated with the market compared to the industry average correlation
R Squared (percentage of price movement explained by movement of the market):
0.473
Correlation of price movement with Nasdaq (^IXIC):
-0.062
Covariance of price movement with the market:
-0.163
Kurtosis
3.047
Returns are, approximately, normally distributed (mesokurtic)
Skewness of returns:
0.092
Returns are, approximately, symmetrical
Fundamental Analysis & Dupont Analysis of
ANGI
Gross Profit Margin Ratio:
314%
Operating Profit Margin Ratio:
-6.38%
Operating profit margin is -1229.34% lower than the industry
Net Profit Margin Ratio:
314%
Effective Tax Rate:
21.40%
Effective tax rate is 66.49% higher than the industry
Dupont Method
Net Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio (ROE):
×
ROA
=
×
-9.67%
Return on equity (ROE) is 11.99% higher than the industry
Financial Leverage
Asset Turnover Ratio (ROA):
-5.32%
Return on assets (ROA) is -442.58% lower than the industry
Financial Leverage:
1.3x
Current Ratio:
1.82
Current ratio is -49.02% below industry average
Cash Conversion Cycle (days):
-25.2
Cash conversion cycle is -137.34% below industry average
The remaining useful life of property plant & equipment is: 14.4 years
Stock based compensation to net income ratio:
-12.17%
In-depth Efficiency Analysis
Revenue generated per employee:
333.6K
Each employee generates -63% less revenue than industry average revenue per employee
EBITDA generated per employee:
- 7.9K
Each employee generates -108% less EBITDA than industry average revenue per employee
Profit generated per employee:
- 20.5K
Each employee generates -146% less net income/profit than industry average revenue per employee
Free cash flow (FCF) generated per employee:
- 5.3K
Each employee generates -105% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Assets/Capital per employee
278.0K
Each employee generates -105% less free cash flow than industry average revenue per employee
Research & Development (R&D) Analysis
Research & development (R&D) investment growth rate-- 3.10%
Growth rate in R&D investment/expenditure is -152.63% lower than the industry
Competitors/Peer firms of
ANGI
JOYY INC. (XNAS:YY)
CARGURUS, INC. (XNAS:CARG)
iQIYI, Inc. (XNAS:IQ)
VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP. (XNAS:VG)
IRIDIUM COMMUNICATIONS INC. (XNAS:IRDM)
VEON Ltd. (XNAS:VEON)
INTEGRAL AD SCIENCE HOLDING CORP. (XNAS:IAS)
IHEARTMEDIA, INC. (XNAS:IHRT)
Millicom International Cellular SA (XNAS:TIGO)
Current Analyst Ratings
Strong buy�8%
Buy�13%
Hold�0%
Sell�0%
Strong sell�0%
Overall analyst sentiment is: Buy
Income Statement
Period:
TTM
Date:
3/31/22
Revenue:
1.73B
Cost of Revenue:
Gross Profit:
R&D Expense
General & Admin Expenses:
Selling, General & Admin Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Other Expenses :
Operating Expenses :
Cost & Expenses :
Interest Income:
Interest Expenses:
Depreciation & Amortization:
EBITDA:
Operating Income:
Other Income Expenses:
Income Before Tax:
Income Tax Expense:
Net Income:
Balance Sheet
Date:
Calendar Year:
Period:
Cash & Cash Equivalents:
Short Term Investments:
Cash & Short Term Investments:
Net Receivables:
Inventory:
Other Current Assets:
Total Current Assets:
PP&E:
Goodwill:
Intangible Assets:
Long Term Investments:
Tax Assets:
Other Non-Current Assets:
Total Non-Current Assets:
Other Assets:
Total Assets:
Accounts Payable:
Short Term Debt:
Tax Payables:
Deferred Revenue:
Other Current Liabilities:
Total Current Liabilities:
Long Term Debt:
Other Non-Current Liabilities:
Total Non Current Liabilities:
Other Liabilities:
Total Liabilities:
Common Stock:
Retained Earnings:
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss:
Other Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Stockholders' Equity:
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity:
Total Investments:
Total Debt:
Net Debt:
371.05M
1.36B
70.75M
427.31M
1.33B
903.60M
72.44M
1.47B
64.00K
21.89M
72.44M
- 41180.00K
- 110579.00K
- 106699.00K
- 134602.00K
- 28807.00K
- 106699.00K
Statement of Cash Flow
Date:
Period:
17.80M
Differed Income Tax :
- 8133.00K
Stock Based Compensation :
12.99M
Change in Working Capital :
- 16379.00K
Accounts Receivables:
- 37757.00K
Other Working Capital:
3.30M
Other Non-Cash Items:
26.28M
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities:
- 735.00K
Investments in PP&E:
-
Net Acquisitions:
-
Purchases of Investments:
-
Sales/Maturities of Investments:
Other Investing Activities:
Net Cash Used for Investing Activities:
Debt Repayment:
Common Stock Issued:
Common Stock Repurchased:
Dividend Paid:
Other Financing Activities:
Net Cash Used Provided by Financing Activities:
Effect of FOREX on Changes in Cash:
Net Changes in Cash:
Cash at End of Period:
Cash at Beginning of Period:
Operating Cash Flow:
Capital Expenditure:
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
3/31/22
2022
Q1
391.29M
-
391.29M
100.04M
-
67.65M
558.98M
138.03M
913.38M
189.82M
-
131.24M
73.37M
1.45B
-
2.00B
56.56M
-
-
55.26M
194.50M
306.31M
494.73M
87.08M
584.08M
-
890.39M
522.00K
- 95019.00K
2.5M
-
March 31, 2022 at 6:00:00 AM
1.85B
1.10B
1.99B
-
494.73M
103.4M
-
- 26816.00K
- 26816.00K
-
-
- 8144.00K
-
- 1322.00K
- 9466.00K
- 205.00K
- 37222.00K
392.26M
429.49M
- 735.00K
- 26903.00K
- 27638.00K
Our Proprietary Portfolio Rating
Our Rating:
A+
Price Forecast/Expected Price in Next 5 Years of
ANGI
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
$4.38
$4.92
$5.51
$6.19
$6.94